Hercules Capital, Inc.

NYSE:HTGC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.5b

Hercules Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Hercules Capital is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.1% and 3.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 1.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.7% in 3 years.

Key information

4.1%

Earnings growth rate

1.8%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth12.1%
Revenue growth rate3.4%
Future return on equity16.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: Hercules Capital, Inc. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Nov 01
Earnings Miss: Hercules Capital, Inc. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Results: Hercules Capital, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Feb 18
Results: Hercules Capital, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Recent updates

Hercules Capital: A Dividend Powerhouse For Long-Term Investors

Jan 10

Little Excitement Around Hercules Capital, Inc.'s (NYSE:HTGC) Earnings

Dec 26
Little Excitement Around Hercules Capital, Inc.'s (NYSE:HTGC) Earnings

Hercules Capital: A Magnificent BDC Gem

Dec 25

Hercules Capital: Are The Dividends Safe? I'm Buying!

Dec 06

Hercules Capital: This 10% Yield Is Rock Solid

Nov 19

Hercules Capital At 70% Premium, Or The Simple High-Yield ETF HYG At NAV?

Nov 05

Earnings Miss: Hercules Capital, Inc. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Nov 01
Earnings Miss: Hercules Capital, Inc. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Hercules Capital (NYSE:HTGC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.48

Oct 31
Hercules Capital (NYSE:HTGC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.48

Hercules Capital: The Valuation Is My Only Concern

Oct 22

Hercules Capital: How Good Is This 10% Yield?

Oct 15

Hercules Capital: The Yield And Underlying Value Remain Attractive

Sep 13

Hercules Capital: This 10% Yield Is On Sale (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 26

Hercules Capital BDC: 10% Yield, Record Earnings

Aug 09

Hercules Capital (NYSE:HTGC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.48

Aug 02
Hercules Capital (NYSE:HTGC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.48

Hercules Capital: Recent Improvements But Currently Very Expensive

Jul 22

Hercules Capital: 2 Possible Outcomes (Rating Downgrade)

Jul 08

Hercules Capital: A Solid Dividend Stock But Valuation Concerns Are Valid

Jun 25

Hercules Capital: A Premium Company, But Better To Wait Until Interest Rates Decrease

Jun 07

Hercules Capital: Solid 10% Yield, But Sky-High Valuation

May 10

Hercules Capital: VC-Focused Name With Less Risk And Better Return Prospects Than Average BDC

May 04

Hercules Capital: Winning Option In The Financial Services Space

Apr 24

There Is A Reason Hercules Capital, Inc.'s (NYSE:HTGC) Price Is Undemanding

Apr 22
There Is A Reason Hercules Capital, Inc.'s (NYSE:HTGC) Price Is Undemanding

Hercules Capital: Record Year In 2023, 10% Yield

Mar 29

Unlocking Hercules Capital's Income Potential: A Fresh Look At Dividend Timing Strategies

Feb 23

Results: Hercules Capital, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Feb 18
Results: Hercules Capital, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Hercules Capital: Still Resilient With Solid Prospects Despite The VC Focus

Feb 17

Hercules Capital: A Different Type Of VC-Focused BDC

Jan 16

Hercules Capital Poised For Potential Market Surge In 2024

Dec 24

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Hercules Capital, Inc.'s (NYSE:HTGC) Low P/E

Dec 18
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Hercules Capital, Inc.'s (NYSE:HTGC) Low P/E

10%-Yielding Hercules Capital: Better Ingredients, Better Outcomes

Dec 15

Main Street Capital Vs. Hercules Capital: Why Choose?

Nov 22

Hercules Capital: 10% Yield, My Largest BDC Position

Nov 13

10%-Yielding Hercules Capital Is A BDC Superstar

Oct 10

Hercules Capital: Venture Capital Financier Offering High Yield And Robust Balance Sheet

Sep 17

Hercules Capital: 10% Yield, Strong Coverage, Low Leverage

Sep 09

Let's Build A Bond Portfolio Together: Hercules Capital Bonds 2026 7.10%

Aug 15

Hercules Capital: Fatter Yield, Surging Stock Price

Aug 05

Hercules Capital: The Tide Is Turning - Buy While It's Cheap (Rating Upgrade)

Jun 28

Hercules Capital raises dividend by 8.3% to $0.39/share, supplemental cash distribution of $0.08

Feb 14

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HTGC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026530326N/AN/A4
12/31/2025522328N/AN/A7
12/31/2024498283N/AN/A8
9/30/20244943184142N/A
6/30/2024486278-167-166N/A
3/31/2024477331-93-92N/A
12/31/20234613346768N/A
9/30/2023438277-128-128N/A
6/30/2023406302-66-65N/A
3/31/2023362197-317-317N/A
12/31/2022322100-425-425N/A
9/30/202229442-260-260N/A
6/30/202228012-166-166N/A
3/31/2022277105-10-10N/A
12/31/2021281172129129N/A
9/30/2021284319260260N/A
6/30/2021284339208208N/A
3/31/2021282318182182N/A
12/31/2020287226208208N/A
9/30/2020283120-38-38N/A
6/30/202028196-2-2N/A
3/31/202028383-124-124N/A
12/31/2019268173-241-241N/A
9/30/2019254111-361-360N/A
6/30/2019238128-407-407N/A
3/31/2019218132-454-454N/A
12/31/201820876-249-249N/A
9/30/2018201111-211-210N/A
6/30/2018194109N/A-180N/A
3/31/201819390N/A33N/A
12/31/201719178N/A-18N/A
9/30/201718874N/A-3N/A
6/30/201718772N/A11N/A
3/31/201718248N/A-44N/A
12/31/201617567N/A-138N/A
9/30/201616767N/A-94N/A
6/30/201616941N/A-16N/A
3/31/201616434N/A-83N/A
12/31/201515741N/A-114N/A
9/30/201515548N/A-71N/A
6/30/201514559N/A-160N/A
3/31/201514069N/A-176N/A
12/31/201414470N/A-27N/A
9/30/201414074N/A65N/A
6/30/201414496N/A150N/A
3/31/2014145104N/A187N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HTGC's forecast earnings growth (4.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: HTGC's earnings (4.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HTGC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HTGC's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HTGC's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HTGC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 03:39
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hercules Capital, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bryce RoweBaird
Vernon PlackBB&T Capital Markets
Sarkis SherbetchyanB. Riley Securities, Inc.