Taking Stock of Global Payments (GPN) Valuation After Upbeat Earnings and EVO Payments Integration Progress

Global Payments (GPN) is heading into its UBS Global Technology and AI Conference appearance with an interesting setup, as recent upbeat earnings, EVO Payments integration, and lingering debt concerns all tug on investor sentiment.

See our latest analysis for Global Payments.

The stock’s recent 7 day share price rebound sits against a much weaker year to date share price return and a deep five year total shareholder return loss. This signals still tentative momentum as investors weigh growth against leverage.

If Global Payments has you rethinking where growth and risk balance best, this could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With shares still well below both analyst targets and estimates of intrinsic value, yet weighed down by leverage and a weak multiyear return profile, is Global Payments a contrarian buy today, or is future growth already fully priced in?

Most Popular Narrative: 24.4% Undervalued

With Global Payments last closing at $78.85 versus a narrative fair value of $104.36, the story frames today’s weakness as a valuation gap, not a ceiling.

The Worldpay acquisition and operational transformation program are creating scale benefits, cost efficiencies, and significant cross-selling opportunities (e.g., selling Genius into Worldpay's merchant base). These are expected to boost earnings growth and margin expansion after integration.

Read the complete narrative.

What if modest growth, fatter margins, and a lower future earnings multiple still add up to upside from here? The narrative stitches those assumptions together, but the exact mix of revenue, profit, and re rating expectations might surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $104.36 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent integration challenges around Worldpay, or faster fee compression from new fintech and embedded finance models, could quickly undermine that undervaluation story.

Find out about the key risks to this Global Payments narrative.

Build Your Own Global Payments Narrative

If this framing does not quite fit your view, or you prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom narrative in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Global Payments research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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