Shift4 Payments Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Shift4 Payments is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29.9% and 19.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.9% in 3 years.
Key information
29.9%
Earnings growth rate
32.7%
EPS growth rate
| Diversified Financial earnings growth | 2.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 19.7% |
| Future return on equity | 35.9% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s (NYSE:FOUR) Price
Jan 07
Shift4 Payments Is A Growth Beast And A Reasonable Buy
Dec 20Shift4: CEO Departure A Big Risk For Investors?
Dec 07Shift4 Payments: Waiting For A Dip To Catch The Next Rip
Nov 18Earnings Miss: Here's What Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE:FOUR) Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Nov 15Shift4 Payments: International Expansion Continues And The Stock Is Cheap
Sep 08Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s (NYSE:FOUR) Popularity With Investors Is Clear
Aug 14Shift4 Payments: Undervalued, But The Prolonged Search For A Buyer Makes It A Pass
Jun 27Shift4 Payments: The CEO Is Buying, And So Am I
Jun 13Shift4 Payments: Despite The Bearish Argument, There's A Lot To Like
May 21Shift4 Payments: Improving Fundamentals + Declining Price = A Generational Buy
May 13Shift4 Payments: The Sell-Off Appears Overdone
Apr 19Shift4: 30% Revenue CAGR In Next 3 Years
Mar 30Shift4: Deal's Off. Here's What's Next
Mar 19Shift4 Payments Earnings Preview: 2024 Guidance Could Point To 30% CAGR
Feb 22Shift4 Payments: Strong Execution Track Record At Reasonable Valuation
Jan 20Shift4 Payments: Still Valuable At 15.4x EV/EBITDA
Jan 03Shift4 Payments Is Buying Economies Of Scale
Dec 11Shift4 Payments: Strong Growth At 25-30% CAGR In 2024, Priced At 16x FCF
Nov 16Beyond The Noise: The Bull Case For Shift4 Payments
Oct 11Shift4 Payments: A Strong Buy In The Payments Processing Industry
Sep 25Shift4 Payments: A Bargain In The Transaction Aisle
Aug 30Shift4 Payments Looks Strong Despite Blue Orca Short Report
Aug 21Shift4 Payments: Rapid Growth From This Hidden Gem
Jun 30Shift4 Payments: An Interesting Company That Was Recently The Subject Of A Short Report
Jun 03Shift4 Payments Ups Guidance On Strong Volume Growth
Dec 19Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 6,070 | 564 | 710 | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,461 | 370 | 622 | 850 | 13 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,502 | 285 | 498 | 692 | 17 |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,469 | 198 | 383 | 529 | 16 |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,149 | 126 | 295 | 460 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,915 | 106 | 232 | 390 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,725 | 92 | 207 | 366 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,565 | 86 | 241 | 388 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,397 | 102 | 274 | 423 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,269 | 111 | -17 | 376 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,139 | 97 | -63 | 324 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,994 | 75 | -105 | 275 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,855 | 36 | -240 | 133 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,686 | -15 | -30 | 82 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,530 | -24 | -53 | 41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,368 | -49 | -82 | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,179 | -53 | -67 | 13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,016 | -48 | -60 | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 807 | -52 | -52 | 7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 767 | -19 | -29 | 4 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 758 | -18 | -32 | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 737 | -36 | -27 | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 776 | -43 | -15 | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 731 | -57 | -12 | 27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 561 | -55 | -14 | 26 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FOUR's forecast earnings growth (29.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: FOUR's earnings (29.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15% per year).
High Growth Earnings: FOUR's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: FOUR's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FOUR's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: FOUR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (35.9%)
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/30 22:48 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
| John Coffey | Barclays |
| Mark Palmer | Benchmark Company |