See our latest analysis for American Express.
American Express has shown strong momentum lately, with a 7.3% jump in its share price today following a 9.6% gain over the past week. Zooming out, the company’s one-year total shareholder return stands at 26.6%. Its multi-year performance has also been impressive, reflecting investors’ steady confidence in its long-term growth story.
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The big question now is whether American Express’s strong recent run still leaves room for the stock to climb further, or if the current share price already reflects all the company’s future growth potential.
Most Popular Narrative: 5.2% Overvalued
Compared to American Express’s last close price of $346.62, the most widely followed narrative places its fair value at $329.62. This suggests shares are trading above what analysts believe the company’s future earnings justify.
“The company's ongoing focus on premium cardmembers and product refreshes, especially the upcoming U.S. Platinum Card relaunch, positions American Express to benefit from consumers' growing demand for personalized experiences and value-added rewards. This is likely to boost net card fee growth and retention, which supports long-term revenue and fee income expansion.”
Want to know why analysts set their fair value below the current price? Their narrative hinges on bold growth bets in revenue, earnings, and margins over the coming years. Curious which benchmarks must be hit for this valuation to hold up? Dive in to see the explicit financial projections fueling this price target.
Result: Fair Value of $329.62 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, competitive pressures from rival premium cards and shifts toward alternative digital payments may challenge American Express’s current growth expectations in the future.
Find out about the key risks to this American Express narrative.
Build Your Own American Express Narrative
If you want to dig into the numbers or look at things from a different angle, you can craft your own story for American Express in just a few minutes. Do it your way.
A great starting point for your American Express research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if American Express might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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