Stock Analysis

Will Ares Management's (ARES) LenderMAC Partnership Redefine Its Alternative Credit Strategy?

  • Earlier in October 2025, LenderMAC announced a strategic alliance with Ares Management, through which Ares will acquire a significant portion of LenderMAC's Non-QM loan production and provide capital to fuel LenderMAC’s nationwide expansion and origination efforts.
  • This partnership highlights Ares Management’s ongoing move to strengthen its position in the alternative credit market while supporting the rapid development and technological advancement of an emerging player in mortgage lending.
  • We’ll examine how Ares’ entry into LenderMAC’s Non-QM lending market could influence its investment narrative and sector positioning.

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Ares Management Investment Narrative Recap

To own Ares Management, I believe an investor must be confident in continued demand for alternative assets and the firm’s ability to grow assets under management (AUM) while defending management fee margins. The new alliance with LenderMAC directly supports Ares’ push into alternative credit, but it does not meaningfully change the most important near-term catalyst: Ares’ progress converting dry powder into fee-paying AUM, nor does it diminish the ongoing risk of fee compression from rising competition in alternative investments.

Of the recent announcements, the launch of the Ares European Strategic Income ELTIF Fund in June is particularly relevant, it demonstrates the firm’s intent to expand its offerings in semi-liquid credit products, echoing themes in the LenderMAC partnership. Moves like these are designed to broaden distribution, yet they also highlight Ares’ increasing reliance on retail and wealth channels to support fee growth.

In contrast, investors should also be alert to the potential impact of ongoing fee pressure as...

Read the full narrative on Ares Management (it's free!)

Ares Management's narrative projects $7.1 billion revenue and $2.2 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 13.7% yearly revenue growth and a $1.83 billion earnings increase from $369.5 million.

Uncover how Ares Management's forecasts yield a $180.20 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ARES Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
ARES Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Private investors in the Simply Wall St Community placed Ares Management’s fair value between US$180.20 and US$201.41, with just two independent estimates. While many have high expectations for AUM growth, fee compression from intensifying competition remains an ongoing concern affecting the outlook for profitability.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Ares Management - why the stock might be worth just $180.20!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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