Stock Analysis

Ares Management (NYSE:ARES) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.93

NYSE:ARES
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The board of Ares Management Corporation (NYSE:ARES) has announced that the dividend on 29th of March will be increased to $0.93, which will be 21% higher than last year's payment of $0.77 which covered the same period. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.3%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Ares Management

Ares Management's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 120% of what it was earning. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 50%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.

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NYSE:ARES Historic Dividend February 19th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from $0.72 total annually to $3.08. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Ares Management Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Ares Management has been growing its earnings per share at 53% a year over the past five years. While EPS is growing rapidly, Ares Management paid out a very high 120% of its income as dividends. If earnings continue to grow, this dividend may be sustainable, but we think a payout this high definitely bears watching.

Ares Management's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Ares Management's payments are rock solid. In general, the distributions are a little bit higher than we would like, but we can't ignore the fact the quickly growing earnings gives this stock great potential in the future. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Ares Management (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.