Federal Agricultural Mortgage Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AGM.PRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AGM.PRG ($19.79) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($26.3)

Is AGM.PRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGM.PRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGM.PRG ($19.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($26.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGM.PRG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGM.PRG?

Key metric: As AGM.PRG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AGM.PRG. This is calculated by dividing AGM.PRG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AGM.PRG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	13.5x
Earnings	US$170.41m
Market Cap	US$2.25b

AGM.PRG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGM.PRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AGM.PRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	16.1x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp	7.1x	0.8%	US$1.9b
NMIH NMI Holdings	8.9x	4.8%	US$3.2b
WD Walker & Dunlop	40.3x	28.4%	US$3.8b
ACT Enact Holdings	7.9x	-1.8%	US$5.4b
AGM.PRG Federal Agricultural Mortgage	13.5x	8.4%	US$2.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGM.PRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGM.PRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
FOA Finance of America Companies	1x	-143.9%	US$196.15m
PMIR PMI Group	1.2x	n/a	US$6.80m
ACGX Alliance Creative Group	1.7x	n/a	US$438.91k

No more companies available in this PE range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGM.PRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGM.PRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGM.PRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	13.5x
Fair PE Ratio	14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGM.PRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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