Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.

NYSE:ABR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.8b

Arbor Realty Trust Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Arbor Realty Trust's revenue is forecast to decline at 26.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 7.9% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.8% in 3 years.

Key information

7.9%

Earnings growth rate

7.0%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth48.3%
Revenue growth rate-26.6%
Future return on equity11.8%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated09 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Arbor Realty: Why I'm Picking Up More Of The Preferreds As They Dip

Nov 22

Arbor Realty: Don't Buy Now

Nov 13

Arbor Realty Yields Over 11% And The Massive Short Position Could Be Offsides

Oct 07

Return Of The mREIT King: Arbor Realty Trust

Sep 17

Arbor Realty: Fed Rate Cuts Could Spark Euphoria And A Short Squeeze, The Dividend Appears Safe

Sep 05

Arbor Realty Trust: End Of Credit Stress May Be In Sight

Aug 15

Arbor Realty: Is Trouble Brewing With This 13% Yielder?

Jul 14

Arbor Realty Trust: 12.1% Yield, 91% Payout Ratio, Rising Book Value

Jul 02

Arbor Realty Trust: Asset Quality Concerns Persist With This Near 13% Yielder

Jun 12

Arbor Realty Trust: A Winner Among mREITs

May 21

Arbor Realty Trust: Surviving Q1 Credit Stress

May 05

Arbor Realty: Growing Revenue From Higher Rates Should Mitigate CLO Risks

Apr 24

Arbor Realty Trust Is The Only mREIT That I Own

Mar 21

Arbor Realty: Oversold By Bears, 12.3% Dividend Yield, I'm Buying

Feb 19

Arbor Realty Faces More Pain Ahead, But Its Series F Preferred Is Attractive

Feb 02

Arbor Realty: Why Pessimistic Investors Messed Up (Downgrade)

Jan 02

Arbor Realty Trust: Short Attacks And Multifamily Distress?

Dec 23

Arbor Realty Trust: High-King Of mREITs

Dec 02

Arbor Realty Trust Presents Strong Technical Performance Following Q3 Earnings

Nov 12

Arbor Realty Trust: 13.7% Yield, Brutal Market

Oct 30

Arbor Realty Trust: This Covered 12.4% Yield Is A Steal

Oct 12

Arbor Realty: Buying The Dip And 12.4% Yield

Oct 06

Arbor Realty: The Dividend Lesson

Sep 18

Arbor Realty Trust: Sustained Superior Performance

Aug 30

Arbor Realty Is Heavily Shorted, But Earnings Suggest Things Are Good For The 10.29% Yielding REIT

Aug 09

Arbor Realty Trust: 3 Takeaways From Q2 2023 Earnings

Jul 31

Arbor Realty: Why The Bears Got This One Wrong

Jul 06

Arbor Realty Trust Soars Big - What's Left?

Jun 21

Arbor Realty: Time For A Victory Lap?

Jun 11

Arbor Realty Trust Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Feb 16

Arbor Realty Trust: Why This 10.8%-Yielding Multifamily Lender Outperforms

Feb 07

Arbor Realty: This 11% Yielder Keeps Delivering

Jan 19

Arbor Realty: I Can't Ignore The 12% Yield

Jan 04

Arbor Realty co-funds Emerald Empire's purchase of Pangea's Chicago portfolio

Dec 27

Arbor Realty: 11% Yield, 10 Straight Dividend Hikes

Dec 16

Arbor Realty Trust Q3 2022 Earnings Preview

Nov 03

Arbor Realty: Don't Bail Out Now - Buy The Pullback

Oct 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:ABR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026335291N/AN/A2
12/31/2025347256N/AN/A4
12/31/2024369222N/AN/A4
9/30/2024650255492492N/A
6/30/2024667275464464N/A
3/31/2024703304553553N/A
12/31/2023719330236236N/A
9/30/2023732327447447N/A
6/30/2023704311437437N/A
3/31/2023678305206206N/A
12/31/20226542851,1001,100N/A
9/30/20226493031,0281,028N/A
6/30/2022658313254254N/A
3/31/2022698312563563N/A
12/31/2021661317217217N/A
9/30/2021641308-249-249N/A
6/30/2021627317249249N/A
3/31/2021567292779779N/A
12/31/20204391635555N/A
9/30/20203591022020N/A
6/30/202032654385385N/A
3/31/202029139-728-728N/A
12/31/2019372121-227-227N/A
9/30/2019405123215215N/A
6/30/2019391117-134-134N/A
3/31/2019376105210210N/A
12/31/2018348108-38-38N/A
9/30/201835793-124-123N/A
6/30/201833982N/A172N/A
3/31/201833076N/A408N/A
12/31/201727366N/A460N/A
9/30/201731264N/A41N/A
6/30/201729259N/A91N/A
3/31/201723357N/A-129N/A
12/31/201617143N/A-199N/A
9/30/201610727N/A150N/A
6/30/20167232N/A35N/A
3/31/20168632N/A38N/A
12/31/20158846N/A36N/A
9/30/20159146N/A42N/A
6/30/20159494N/A37N/A
3/31/20159095N/A28N/A
12/31/20149386N/A31N/A
9/30/20149584N/A25N/A
6/30/20149224N/A23N/A
3/31/20149016N/A25N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABR's forecast earnings growth (7.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: ABR's earnings (7.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ABR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ABR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-26.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ABR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-26.6% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ABR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 22:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ChiaveriniBMO Capital Markets U.S. (Historical)
Benjamin ZuckerBTIG
George BahamondesDeutsche Bank