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XP Inc.NasdaqGS:XP Stock Report

Market Cap US$9.9b
Share Price
US$18.50
US$24.11
23.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y16.4%
7D-5.5%
Portfolio Value
View

XP Inc.

NasdaqGS:XP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.9b

XP (XP) Stock Overview

Engages in the provision of financial products and services in Brazil. More details

XP fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends2/6

XP Community Fair Values

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See what 72 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

XP Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for XP
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$18.50
52 Week HighUS$23.13
52 Week LowUS$15.51
Beta1.28
1 Month Change-0.59%
3 Month Change-6.75%
1 Year Change16.43%
3 Year Change24.41%
5 Year Change-56.60%
Change since IPO-46.31%

Recent News & Updates

XP: Growth Is Improving, But Retail Flows Are Still Missing

Apr 29

XP: Execution On 2026 Guidance And Competition Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their price targets on XP toward the mid $20s. These changes are framed around updated revenue growth expectations near 12% for 2026 and modest adjustments to projected profit margins and future P/E multiples.

XP: Execution On 2026 Revenue Guidance Will Drive Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price targets for XP higher, with recent moves such as BofA's lift to $26 from $22 reflecting updated views on revenue growth expectations, profitability, and a modestly lower assumed discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XP shows a mix of optimism about long term revenue potential and caution about how much of that potential is already reflected in the share price.

XP: Future Returns Will Rely On 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns

Narrative Update on XP The consensus analyst price target for XP has shifted higher, with some moving to $26 from $22 as analysts factor in management’s reiterated 2026 gross revenue guidance, expectations for about 12% revenue growth in 2026, and stronger profit margin assumptions alongside a slightly lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XP highlights a mix of optimism around long term growth guidance and caution around execution and valuation, which is feeding into the latest price target changes.

Recent updates

XP: Growth Is Improving, But Retail Flows Are Still Missing

Apr 29

XP: Execution On 2026 Guidance And Competition Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their price targets on XP toward the mid $20s. These changes are framed around updated revenue growth expectations near 12% for 2026 and modest adjustments to projected profit margins and future P/E multiples.

XP: Execution On 2026 Revenue Guidance Will Drive Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price targets for XP higher, with recent moves such as BofA's lift to $26 from $22 reflecting updated views on revenue growth expectations, profitability, and a modestly lower assumed discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XP shows a mix of optimism about long term revenue potential and caution about how much of that potential is already reflected in the share price.

XP: Future Returns Will Rely On 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns

Narrative Update on XP The consensus analyst price target for XP has shifted higher, with some moving to $26 from $22 as analysts factor in management’s reiterated 2026 gross revenue guidance, expectations for about 12% revenue growth in 2026, and stronger profit margin assumptions alongside a slightly lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XP highlights a mix of optimism around long term growth guidance and caution around execution and valuation, which is feeding into the latest price target changes.

XP: Reiterated 2026 Guidance And Buybacks Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have raised their average price target for XP to about $27.10, with the change tied to slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions and updated long term P/E expectations following recent research that incorporates management’s reiterated 2026 gross revenue guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent price target revisions as a reflection of greater confidence in XP’s ability to meet the company’s reiterated 2026 gross revenue guidance, while still maintaining some valuation discipline.

XP: 2026 Earnings Power And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts now see XP's fair value at about $26.86 versus roughly $26.00 previously, reflecting updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E after recent bullish Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent bullish research on XP has focused on how updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E can support a fair value around US$26.86, compared with roughly US$26.00 in prior models.

XP: Future Shareholder Returns Will Rely On Buybacks And Cash Dividends

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for XP from US$22.63 to about US$23.89 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples informed by recent research that maintains a positive view on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent initiation and refreshed fair value work as support that XP's current share price still leaves room for the updated US$23.89 estimate to be realized over time, assuming the company can deliver on its revenue and margin assumptions.

XP: Buybacks And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for XP from about US$20.06 to around US$21.30 per share, pointing to updated assumptions that combine stronger revenue growth expectations with slightly lower profit margins and a similar future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary While the revised fair value estimate reflects updated assumptions on growth and margins, not every research desk is leaning in the same direction.

XP: Future Shareholder Returns Will Rely On Ongoing Buybacks And Dividends

Analysts have trimmed their price target on XP to US$22.63 from US$23.17, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which slightly adjust their overall outlook. What's in the News XP Inc.

XP: Share Repurchases And Higher Margins Will Drive Stronger Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target for XP from approximately 16.73 dollars to 20.06 dollars, citing expectations of slightly higher discount rates and improved long term profit margins that more than offset a modest reduction in projected revenue growth. What's in the News XP Inc.

XP Will Benefit From 2026 Earnings Power And Capital Returns

We modestly lift our fair value estimate for XP to approximately $26, reflecting analysts’ higher year-end 2026-based price targets in the low $20s, even as they trim revenue growth assumptions and flag near-term macro and activity headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have nudged their price targets into the low $20s, aligning with our updated fair value framework and signaling growing confidence that XP can execute through a tougher macro backdrop.

XP: Medium-Term Confidence Will Prevail Despite Near-Term Interest Rate Headwinds

XP’s analyst price target saw a modest increase to $23, up from previous levels, as analysts rolled forward valuation periods and maintained mostly stable earnings forecasts despite some pressure on revenue growth expectations and market activity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reports reflect a balanced perspective from analysts, highlighting both the opportunities and risks currently facing XP Inc.

Earnings Update: XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Nov 20
Earnings Update: XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

XP: Stable Earnings Outlook Will Support Long-Term Resilience Into 2026

Analysts have raised their price target for XP Inc. from $22.92 to $23.20.

Brazil's Evolving Landscape Will Unlock Broad Market Opportunities

XP's analyst price target has been modestly lifted from $22.92 to $23.50, as analysts incorporate revised growth estimates and extend valuation timeframes. This change comes despite mixed expectations for near-term performance.

Brazil's Evolving Landscape Will Unlock Broad Market Opportunities

XP's valuation outlook has shifted as its future P/E multiple dropped sharply and revenue growth forecasts softened, yet the analyst price target was essentially unchanged at $23.50. What's in the News Board meeting held to consider and approve unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements as of June 30, 2025.

Brazil's Evolving Landscape Will Unlock Broad Market Opportunities

Analysts have modestly raised XP's price target to $22.84 as bullish sentiment around improved fundamentals offsets bearish concerns over limited upside and competitive challenges. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite concerns over limited upside to justify a downgrade and reduced price target.

Earnings Update: XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Just Reported Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

May 23
Earnings Update: XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Just Reported Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Even With A 39% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding XP Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XP) Performance Completely

May 09
Even With A 39% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding XP Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XP) Performance Completely

XP Inc. Q4: Results Are Surprising, But That's Why It's Not Time To Buy (Rating Upgrade)

Mar 05

XP: Like A Bank But Conserves Optionality To Equities, It Is An Opportunity

Feb 19

XP: Weathering The Storm In Brazil's Financial Turmoil

Jan 25

XP Inc. Q3: Modest And Without Triggers For Abrupt Improvement

Nov 27
User avatar

Enhancing Tech-Enabled Platforms And Services Will Drive Revenue Growth And Deepen Client Relationships

XP's tech-enabled platform and transition to service provision are set to increase revenue and enhance net margins by attracting and retaining clients.

XP Q2 Earnings: On Track To Meet Its 2026 Financial Targets

Sep 06

XP Inc.: Lots Of Competition And Little Potential For Appreciation

Jun 21

XP Inc: The Post-Earnings Sell-Off Is A Buying Opportunity

May 25

Shareholder Returns

XPUS Capital MarketsUS Market
7D-5.5%-0.2%0.6%
1Y16.4%15.6%28.4%

Return vs Industry: XP matched the US Capital Markets industry which returned 15.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: XP underperformed the US Market which returned 28.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is XP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
XP volatility
XP Average Weekly Movement8.2%
Capital Markets Industry Average Movement3.7%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: XP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: XP's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2001n/aThiago Maffrawww.xpinc.com

XP Inc. engages in the provision of financial products and services in Brazil. It operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. The company offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients.

XP Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do XP's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
XP fundamental statistics
Market capUS$9.86b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.04b
Revenue (TTM)US$3.57b
9.2x
P/E Ratio
2.7x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
XP income statement (TTM)
RevenueR$17.77b
Cost of RevenueR$5.46b
Gross ProfitR$12.31b
Other ExpensesR$7.14b
EarningsR$5.17b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)10.00
Gross Margin69.26%
Net Profit Margin29.09%
Debt/Equity Ratio629.9%

How did XP perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.0%
Current Dividend Yield
10%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/04 03:45
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/04 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

XP Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mario Lucio PierryBofA Global Research
Marcelo MizrahiBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários
Eric ItoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários