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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Puyi Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PUYI) Price
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Capital Markets industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, Puyi Inc. (NASDAQ:PUYI) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 14x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Puyi
How Has Puyi Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Puyi over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Puyi's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Puyi's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Puyi would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 10% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Puyi's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Puyi revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Puyi (2 are significant) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Puyi, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:HPH
Highest Performances Holdings
Engages in the provision of financial technology services in China.
Excellent balance sheet slight.