Fiserv, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FISV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$29.2b

Fiserv Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Fiserv is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 3.5% and 1.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.5% in 3 years.

Key information

3.5%

Earnings growth rate

8.13%

EPS growth rate

Diversified Financial earnings growth6.5%
Revenue growth rate1.4%
Future return on equity15.47%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Fiserv is a high-switching-cost payments infrastructure business at fair value under even pessimistic assumptions.

Investment Thesis Clover’s 25% VAS penetration with a clear path to 35-40%+ is a high-margin compounding engine that the market is likely underweighting relative to the noise around transformation spend Financial Solutions core banking and debit processing carry near-irreplaceable switching costs — client defection risk is structurally low regardless of competitive pressure at the margin At ~10-11x 2026 adjusted EPS, the stock prices in essentially no recovery from the guided trough — any normalization toward 38%+ adjusted margins in 2027-28 creates meaningful upside $4.3B+ in annual FCF funds ~$5-6B in annual buybacks, reducing share count ~6%/year and creating EPS growth even in a flat-revenue environment Project Elevate efficiency initiatives and AI platform investments are the right structural response to competitive pressure, and are temporary in nature rather than permanent margin impairment Risk Considerations $28.2B in net debt means FCF deterioration is amplified directly into equity value destruction — a 1.5% WACC shift moves intrinsic value by ~$25-30/share Banking segment organic revenue declined 3% in FY25 with no clear inflection catalyst; cloud-native core banking competitors (Thought Machine, Temenos, Mambu) are winning greenfield deals Fiserv cannot Operating margin has compressed ~200 bps in both FY25 and is guided to compress again in FY26 — if the margin trough extends beyond 2026, the FCF engine supporting buybacks begins to erode Clover competes directly against Square, Toast, and Stripe in adjacent verticals — any meaningful take-rate compression or merchant loss in the SMB segment would impair the primary growth thesis The proxy statement (DEF 14A) has not yet been filed; management compensation structure and insider ownership — key governance inputs — remain unverified from primary sources​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Fiserv: Hated, Cheap, And About To Turn The Corner

Mar 14

Not Many Are Piling Into Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE:FI) Stock Yet As It Plummets 47%

Nov 01
Not Many Are Piling Into Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE:FI) Stock Yet As It Plummets 47%

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Fiserv, Inc.'s (NYSE:FI) 25% Share Price Plunge

May 16
Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Fiserv, Inc.'s (NYSE:FI) 25% Share Price Plunge

Fiserv: Slower Clover Volumes Raise Alarms, Too Soon To Buy

Apr 24

Fiserv: Still A Long-Term Winner Even Under Uncertainty

Apr 16

Fiserv: Challenges In Front Of Sustaining Share Price Momentum

Mar 15

Fiserv: Attractive Earnings Growth Equity Story

Feb 15

Fiserv: Clover Delivers Again, But Good News Is Increasingly Priced In (Rating Downgrade)

Feb 06

Fiserv: Favorable Macroeconomic Tailwinds Will Drive Steady Revenue Growth

Dec 06

Fiserv: No Longer A Bargain But Still A Fairly Valued High-Quality Company

Oct 23

Fiserv: Its Aggressive Moves Are Giving It Advantages Over Competitors

Aug 15

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:FISV - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202821,9873,7384,5596,63711
12/31/202721,0063,5104,2096,27027
12/31/202620,1753,1393,8755,65626
12/31/202521,1933,4804,2996,062N/A
9/30/202521,1603,6074,6196,339N/A
6/30/202521,1123,3795,1576,772N/A
3/31/202520,7033,2474,9646,448N/A
12/31/202420,4563,1315,0626,631N/A
9/30/202420,1223,0634,4816,005N/A
6/30/202419,7803,4513,8495,326N/A
3/31/202419,4293,2403,3944,863N/A
12/31/202319,0933,0683,7745,162N/A
9/30/202318,8072,9803,8355,200N/A
6/30/202318,4522,5093,3814,821N/A
3/31/202318,1462,4243,4464,933N/A
12/31/202217,7372,5303,1394,618N/A
9/30/202217,3632,0812,8344,328N/A
6/30/202217,0082,0282,4423,826N/A
3/31/202216,6091,6992,6403,897N/A
12/31/202116,2261,3342,8744,034N/A
9/30/202115,8011,3012,8523,877N/A
6/30/202115,4241,1373,3354,241N/A
3/31/202114,8388703,3234,211N/A
12/31/202014,8529583,2474,147N/A
9/30/202015,0659053,2934,272N/A
6/30/202014,4078393,2694,268N/A
3/31/202012,4541,0602,5743,443N/A
12/31/201910,1878932,2072,928N/A
9/30/20197,693932N/A2,188N/A
6/30/20195,977961N/A1,518N/A
3/31/20195,885989N/A1,596N/A
12/31/20185,8231,187N/A1,595N/A
9/30/20185,7881,433N/A1,511N/A
6/30/20185,7761,438N/A1,467N/A
3/31/20185,7421,408N/A1,411N/A
12/31/20175,6961,232N/A1,502N/A
9/30/20175,611915N/A1,404N/A
6/30/20175,591897N/A1,435N/A
3/31/20175,568888N/A1,385N/A
12/31/20165,505930N/A1,431N/A
9/30/20165,442904N/A1,433N/A
6/30/20165,375908N/A1,433N/A
3/31/20165,310823N/A1,509N/A
12/31/20155,254712N/A1,346N/A
9/30/20155,202704N/A1,302N/A
6/30/20155,152725N/A1,337N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FISV's forecast earnings growth (3.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: FISV's earnings (3.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FISV's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FISV's revenue (1.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FISV's revenue (1.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FISV's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.5%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/31 03:55
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/31 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fiserv, Inc. is covered by 54 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jasper HellwegArgus Research Company
David KoningBaird
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.