FISV logo

Fiserv, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:FISV Community·US$28.9b Market Cap
  • 6 Narratives written by author
  • 4 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 308 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

FISV Share Price Performance

US$54.39
-82.67 (-60.32%)
US$119.99
Fair Value
US$54.39
-82.67 (-60.32%)
54.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$119.99
Fair Value
Price US$54.39
Hidden_Rock_Capital US$119.99
AnalystConsensusTarget US$62.70
MRT23 US$50.00

FISV Community Narratives

·
Fair Value US$119.99 54.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

Temporary "perfect storm" leads to opportunity to buy financial services leader for less than 5x long-term earnings

12users have liked this narrative
2users have commented on this narrative
40users have followed this narrative
·
Fair Value US$62.7 13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

FI: Management Transition And Recurring Revenue Focus Will Support Long-Term Recovery

1users have liked this narrative
3users have commented on this narrative
98users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
·
Fair Value US$50 8.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Q1 2026 FCF collapse has reset the debate from "fair value" to "distressed transformation"

1users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
6users have followed this narrative
US$119.99
54.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
27.15% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.17%
Future PE
8.45x
Price in 2031
US$185.59
US$62.7
13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
0.98% p.a.
Profit Margin
16.01%
Future PE
11.91x
Price in 2029
US$81.1
US$99.18
45.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
2.15% p.a.
Profit Margin
18.46%
Future PE
14.68x
Price in 2029
US$128.34

Updated Narratives

FISV logo

Q1 2026 FCF collapse has reset the debate from "fair value" to "distressed transformation"

Fair Value: US$50 8.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
6 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FISV logo

Temporary "perfect storm" leads to opportunity to buy financial services leader for less than 5x long-term earnings

Fair Value: US$119.99 54.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
40 users have set this as their fair value
2 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FISV logo

Fiserv profit margin expected to rise by 16.42% over 5 years

Fair Value: US$51.96 4.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
2 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Undervalued with questionable track record.

1 Risk
3 Rewards

Fiserv, Inc. Key Details

US$20.9b

Revenue

US$9.1b

Cost of Revenue

US$11.7b

Gross Profit

US$8.9b

Other Expenses

US$2.8b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
5.27
56.22%
13.42%
94.9%
View Full Analysis

About FISV

Founded
1984
Employees
38000
CEO
Panagiotis Georgakopoulos
WebsiteView website
www.fiserv.com

Fiserv, Inc. provides payments and financial services technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through the Merchant Solutions and Financial Solutions segments. The Merchant Solutions segment offers merchant acquiring and digital commerce services; mobile payment services; security and fraud protection solutions; stored-value solutions; software-as-a-service; POS devices; and pay-by-bank solutions. Its Financial Solutions segment provides digital payments, including debit card processing services, debit network services, security and fraud protection products, bill payment, person-to-person payments, and account-to-account transfers; issuing services comprising credit card processing services, prepaid card processing services, card production services, print services, government payment processing, and student loan processing; and banking services, such as customer loan and deposit account processing, digital banking, financial and risk management, professional services and consulting, and check processing services. The company serves merchants, banks, credit unions, other financial institutions, corporate, and public sector customers. The company has a strategic alliance with Western Alliance Bancorporation; it has a strategic partnership with Mastercard to enable eligible enterprise merchants simplify commerce through an expanded suite of integrated value-added services. Fiserv, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Recent FISV News & Updates

Narrative Update Aug 13

Q1 2026 FCF collapse has reset the debate from "fair value" to "distressed transformation"

Fiserv is a high-switching-cost payments infrastructure business where the original FCF recovery thesis has been invalidated by structural revenue deterioration, a 48% collapse in annualized FCF, and the emergence of SEC/DOJ investigations — the position offers minimal margin of safety at current prices. Investment Thesis The switching-cost moat in core banking and debit processing remains structurally intact, but is no longer generating the earnings required to support the equity value above $27.3B in net debt Clover small business volume continues to grow, but Argentina headwinds, hardware declines, and the collapse of high-margin license and analytics revenue have made the VAS compounding thesis insufficient to drive FCF recovery on any near-term horizon The buyback engine that was the primary EPS accretion mechanism has effectively ceased — $300M in H1 2026 versus $4.4B in H1 2025 — removing the mechanical support for the forward earnings multiple A second CEO change in twelve months, parallel SEC and DOJ investigations into 2025 earnings guidance, and a securities class action naming the current CEO have introduced categorical governance risk that cannot be modeled in a DCF and that changes the character of the investment from operational turnaround to legal overhang Base-case DCF at 9.5% WACC now implies approximately 50% downside from the $58 cost basis, with negative equity value in the bear case — the margin of safety has inverted and the thesis no longer meets the standard for holding Risk Considerations H1 2026 FCF of $1,126M annualizes to $2.25B against $27.3B in net debt; leverage converts the 48% FCF decline into near-total equity impairment under base-case assumptions, with no near-term catalyst for reversal Financial Solutions operating margin collapsed from 48% to 38% in two quarters driven by structural loss of high-margin license and analytics revenue — not transformation spend — suggesting competitive displacement rather than a temporary cost cycle SEC Enforcement and DOJ investigations into 2025 earnings guidance, alongside a federal securities class action, introduce the possibility of restatements, executive departures, or financial penalties that are unquantifiable and unhedgeable at the position level $18.5B of goodwill in eight reporting units where fair value exceeded carrying value by less than 15% at December 31, 2025 — continued margin pressure and stock price deterioration raise the probability of a material non-cash impairment charge No embedded gain, no tax friction, and no margin of safety at cost basis — capital redeployed into a position with a genuinely comfortable bear case represents a superior use of the portfolio slot
Narrative Update Aug 07

FISV: Future Upside Will Depend On Debit Network Asset Sales

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets for Fiserv by a few dollars, with cuts from firms including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Barclays, Truist and others. These changes reflect lower revenue growth assumptions, slightly softer profit margin expectations and concerns about execution during the company’s turnaround and leadership transition.

Recent updates

No updates