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AGBA Group Holding Valuation

Is AGBA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGBA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGBA ($5.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($36.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGBA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGBA?

Key metric: As AGBA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AGBA. This is calculated by dividing AGBA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AGBA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	23.2x
Sales	US$38.32m
Market Cap	US$887.19m

AGBA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	24.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-28.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AGBA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AGBA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.5x
NEWT NewtekOne	1.2x	1.3%	US$380.9m
ALRS Alerus Financial	3.4x	22.6%	US$561.2m
BXLC Bexil	3.5x	n/a	US$22.4m
JXN Jackson Financial	1.9x	13.6%	US$7.4b
AGBA AGBA Group Holding	23.2x	n/a	US$887.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AGBA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AGBA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

15 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
RKT Rocket Companies	0.5x	23.3%	US$27.25b
FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage	0.4x	-2.9%	US$9.31b
UWMC UWM Holdings	0.3x	10.6%	US$9.17b
NATL NCR Atleos	0.5x	2.5%	US$2.13b

15 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AGBA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (23.2x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (2.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGBA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGBA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	23.2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGBA's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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