Jackson Financial Valuation

Is JXN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JXN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JXN ($98.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($677.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JXN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JXN?

Key metric: As JXN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for JXN. This is calculated by dividing JXN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is JXN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.8x
SalesUS$4.00b
Market CapUS$7.35b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does JXN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for JXN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
VOYA Voya Financial
1x3.3%US$7.7b
EQH Equitable Holdings
1.4x14.2%US$14.6b
CRBG Corebridge Financial
1.1x12.2%US$17.3b
ALRS Alerus Financial
3.3x22.6%US$549.8m
JXN Jackson Financial
1.8x13.6%US$7.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: JXN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does JXN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RKT Rocket Companies
0.5x23.3%US$27.35b
FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage
0.4x-2.9%US$10.37b
UWMC UWM Holdings
0.4x10.6%US$9.97b
LDI loanDepot
0.4x18.5%US$758.64m
JXN 1.8xIndustry Avg. 2.7xNo. of Companies16PS0246810+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: JXN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (2.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JXN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JXN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio2.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: JXN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JXN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$98.54
US$100.40
+1.9%
9.6%US$117.00US$88.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$98.32
US$91.20
-7.2%
13.1%US$111.00US$74.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$90.25
US$86.40
-4.3%
14.3%US$109.00US$74.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$89.97
US$79.75
-11.4%
7.8%US$89.00US$74.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$84.88
US$79.50
-6.3%
4.5%US$84.00US$74.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$74.99
US$76.25
+1.7%
6.4%US$82.00US$70.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$76.01
US$74.75
-1.7%
10.4%US$82.00US$62.00n/a4
May ’25US$69.10
US$65.50
-5.2%
11.7%US$75.00US$55.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$66.15
US$57.50
-13.1%
10.8%US$68.00US$52.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$56.62
US$57.50
+1.6%
10.8%US$68.00US$52.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$49.65
US$51.00
+2.7%
5.9%US$55.00US$47.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$51.20
US$44.40
-13.3%
13.9%US$55.00US$38.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$48.40
US$43.40
-10.3%
10.6%US$50.00US$38.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$37.33
US$39.20
+5.0%
10.1%US$46.00US$34.00US$98.325
Oct ’24US$38.22
US$38.60
+1.0%
10.3%US$46.00US$34.00US$90.255
Sep ’24US$37.90
US$37.40
-1.3%
5.2%US$40.00US$34.00US$89.975
Aug ’24US$32.66
US$37.80
+15.7%
4.6%US$40.00US$35.00US$84.885
Jul ’24US$30.61
US$37.60
+22.8%
4.3%US$40.00US$35.00US$74.995
Jun ’24US$28.22
US$38.20
+35.4%
6.1%US$42.00US$35.00US$76.015
May ’24US$35.48
US$41.60
+17.2%
9.1%US$48.00US$37.00US$69.105
Apr ’24US$37.41
US$41.20
+10.1%
9.9%US$48.00US$36.00US$66.155
Mar ’24US$42.53
US$42.60
+0.2%
15.5%US$55.00US$36.00US$56.625
Feb ’24US$45.86
US$39.80
-13.2%
8.5%US$46.00US$36.00US$49.655
Jan ’24US$34.79
US$38.40
+10.4%
11.0%US$46.00US$34.00US$51.205
Dec ’23US$37.03
US$38.40
+3.7%
11.0%US$46.00US$34.00US$48.405
Nov ’23US$37.70
US$36.00
-4.5%
8.4%US$42.00US$34.00US$37.335

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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