The Lottery Corporation Limited

OTCPK:LTRC.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.9b

Lottery Valuation

Is LTRC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LTRC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$2.58
Fair Value
12.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LTRC.F ($2.91) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LTRC.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LTRC.F?

Key metric: As LTRC.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LTRC.F. This is calculated by dividing LTRC.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LTRC.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.9x
EarningsAU$414.00m
Market CapAU$11.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LTRC.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LTRC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.7x
BYD Boyd Gaming
13.6x6.6%US$6.8b
LNW Light & Wonder
25.8x22.3%US$7.6b
SRAD Sportradar Group
101.1x34.6%US$6.2b
CHDN Churchill Downs
22.3x17.4%US$9.3b
LTRC.F Lottery
26.9x4.3%US$11.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LTRC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the peer average (40.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LTRC.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies14PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LTRC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (25x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LTRC.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LTRC.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LTRC.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LTRC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$3.36
0%
4.6%US$3.63US$3.13n/a14
Jan ’26n/a
US$3.39
0%
4.3%US$3.62US$3.12n/a14
Dec ’25n/a
US$3.54
0%
4.3%US$3.78US$3.26n/a14
Nov ’25n/a
US$3.63
0%
4.0%US$3.84US$3.37n/a14
Oct ’25n/a
US$3.70
0%
3.9%US$3.94US$3.45n/a14
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.59
0%
5.6%US$3.86US$3.05n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.61
0%
7.3%US$3.99US$2.99n/a15
Jul ’25US$3.28
US$3.62
+10.7%
7.3%US$3.99US$3.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$3.26
US$3.58
+10.0%
7.2%US$3.97US$2.98n/a14
May ’25n/a
US$3.52
0%
7.1%US$3.91US$2.93n/a14
Apr ’25US$3.12
US$3.53
+13.2%
7.1%US$3.92US$2.94n/a14
Mar ’25n/a
US$3.53
0%
7.1%US$3.92US$2.94n/a14
Feb ’25US$3.31
US$3.48
+5.2%
4.3%US$3.76US$3.30n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
US$3.59
0%
4.6%US$3.83US$3.33n/a13
Dec ’24US$2.95
US$3.55
+20.2%
4.8%US$3.77US$3.27n/a13
Nov ’24US$2.87
US$3.42
+19.1%
4.8%US$3.75US$3.16n/a13
Oct ’24US$3.05
US$3.48
+14.4%
4.7%US$3.83US$3.22n/a14
Sep ’24n/a
US$3.49
0%
4.9%US$3.85US$3.24n/a15
Aug ’24US$3.33
US$3.57
+7.3%
8.6%US$4.02US$2.79n/a14
Jul ’24US$3.40
US$3.61
+6.1%
9.2%US$4.08US$2.83US$3.2813
Jun ’24n/a
US$3.40
0%
11.4%US$3.91US$2.54US$3.2614
May ’24US$3.33
US$3.45
+3.9%
11.2%US$4.02US$2.62n/a13
Apr ’24n/a
US$3.46
0%
11.3%US$4.02US$2.62US$3.1213
Mar ’24US$3.38
US$3.47
+2.8%
11.5%US$4.05US$2.63n/a13
Feb ’24US$3.41
US$3.36
-1.5%
11.8%US$4.00US$2.60US$3.3114
Jan ’24n/a
US$3.19
0%
11.8%US$3.83US$2.49n/a14
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
US$3.13
Fair Value
7.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 21:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/13 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Lottery Corporation Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew RyanBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Ware KuoBofA Global Research