Stock Analysis

Is Light & Wonder's Major Buyback and Index Shuffle Reshaping the Case for LNWO?

  • Light & Wonder announced in mid-November 2025 that its Board of Directors had authorized a substantial share repurchase program, enabling the company to buy back up to 80,234,110 shares through June 11, 2027.
  • This announcement came shortly after the company was both dropped from several major Russell and NASDAQ indices and added to the S&P Global BMI and FTSE All-World Index, highlighting a significant transition in its index inclusion profile.
  • Given the launch of a significant share buyback alongside sweeping index changes, we'll explore how these shifts affect Light & Wonder's investment narrative.

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Light & Wonder Investment Narrative Recap

To own shares in Light & Wonder, one needs confidence in the company’s ability to expand its digital and regulated gaming offerings while managing debt and adapting to rapid industry change. The recent share repurchase program and sweeping index transitions are significant signals but do not materially shift the company’s most important short-term catalysts, continued digital growth and favorable regulatory changes remain central, while rising leverage continues as the biggest risk to near-term financial flexibility.

Among recent developments, the newly authorized share buyback program, set to retire up to 80,234,110 shares over the next 19 months, stands out as the most relevant and could support earnings per share if sustained. However, given ongoing regulatory headwinds and pressure from unregulated alternatives, the impact and timing of this initiative warrant careful monitoring for shareholders seeking long-term growth through digital expansion and disciplined capital management.

However, the risk of heavier debt levels constraining future actions is something investors should be especially mindful of because if interest costs...

Read the full narrative on Light & Wonder (it's free!)

Light & Wonder's outlook anticipates $4.0 billion in revenue and $698.8 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on a 7.8% annual revenue growth rate and a 2x increase in earnings from $349.0 million currently.

Uncover how Light & Wonder's forecasts yield a $105.73 fair value, a 17% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

LNWO Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
LNWO Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Fair value estimates from three Simply Wall St Community contributors span US$105.73 to US$158.23 per share. While community views differ widely, continued investment in digital content and market expansion may be key in shaping Light & Wonder’s performance over time, check out several perspectives to see how your own view compares.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Light & Wonder - why the stock might be worth as much as 75% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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