Organization of Football Prognostics S.A.

OTCPK:GRKZ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9b

Organization of Football Prognostics Valuation

Is GRKZ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRKZ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRKZ.F ($15.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRKZ.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRKZ.F?

Key metric: As GRKZ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRKZ.F. This is calculated by dividing GRKZ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRKZ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
Earnings€452.68m
Market Cap€5.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRKZ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRKZ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.6x
BYD Boyd Gaming
12.9x5.6%US$6.5b
RRR Red Rock Resorts
18x10.8%US$3.0b
SRAD Sportradar Group
82.4x34.3%US$5.3b
LNW Light & Wonder
29.3x22.1%US$8.7b
GRKZ.F Organization of Football Prognostics
12.5x4.5%US$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRKZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (35.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRKZ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.9xn/aUS$6.25m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
GRKZ.F 12.5xIndustry Avg. 25.0xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRKZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRKZ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRKZ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRKZ.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRKZ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$19.48
0%
7.6%US$22.04US$16.48n/a8
Nov ’25n/a
US$20.09
0%
6.9%US$22.67US$17.49n/a8
Oct ’25n/a
US$20.46
0%
6.9%US$22.23US$18.01n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
US$20.26
0%
7.3%US$22.05US$17.53n/a9
Aug ’25US$17.23
US$19.93
+15.7%
7.3%US$21.69US$17.25n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
US$19.56
0%
7.5%US$21.43US$17.04n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$19.75
0%
7.5%US$21.64US$17.21n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$19.46
0%
7.9%US$21.29US$16.92n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
US$19.88
0%
9.8%US$21.73US$16.30n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
US$19.56
0%
9.0%US$21.98US$16.49n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
US$19.56
0%
9.0%US$21.98US$16.49n/a8
Jan ’25US$18.00
US$19.56
+8.7%
9.0%US$21.98US$16.49n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
US$19.30
0%
8.0%US$21.92US$16.44n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
US$18.64
0%
7.4%US$21.18US$16.63n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
US$18.77
0%
7.8%US$21.37US$16.78n/a9
Sep ’24US$17.35
US$19.14
+10.3%
7.8%US$21.84US$17.15n/a9
Aug ’24US$19.03
US$18.43
-3.1%
6.8%US$21.39US$16.79US$17.239
Jul ’24n/a
US$18.43
0%
6.8%US$21.39US$16.79n/a9
Jun ’24n/a
US$18.41
0%
3.4%US$19.29US$17.58n/a8
May ’24n/a
US$18.75
0%
3.9%US$19.83US$17.63n/a8
Apr ’24n/a
US$18.27
0%
3.5%US$19.51US$17.35n/a8
Mar ’24n/a
US$17.65
0%
4.8%US$19.25US$16.04n/a8
Feb ’24n/a
US$17.91
0%
3.7%US$18.57US$16.48n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
US$16.83
0%
8.8%US$19.07US$13.75US$18.008
Dec ’23n/a
US$16.83
0%
8.8%US$19.07US$13.75n/a8
Nov ’23n/a
US$16.23
0%
9.2%US$18.23US$12.95n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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