Organization of Football Prognostics S.A.

OTCPK:GOFP.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9b

Organization of Football Prognostics Valuation

Is GOFP.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOFP.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOFP.Y ($8.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($10)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOFP.Y is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOFP.Y?

Key metric: As GOFP.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GOFP.Y. This is calculated by dividing GOFP.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GOFP.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
Earnings€452.68m
Market Cap€5.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GOFP.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GOFP.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.5x
SRAD Sportradar Group
86.1x34.3%US$5.2b
RRR Red Rock Resorts
18.3x10.8%US$5.3b
BYD Boyd Gaming
12.8x5.6%US$6.3b
LNW Light & Wonder
28.9x22.1%US$8.3b
GOFP.Y Organization of Football Prognostics
12.5x4.3%US$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOFP.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (36.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOFP.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.7xn/aUS$5.82m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
GOFP.Y 12.5xIndustry Avg. 25.0xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOFP.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOFP.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOFP.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GOFP.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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