GGGS.F Stock Overview

Operates as a food-on-the-go retailer in the United Kingdom. More details

GGGS.F fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	2/6
Future Growth	3/6
Past Performance	3/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	4/6

Rewards

Trading at 4.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 5.98% per year

Earnings have grown 25.4% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

Shares are highly illiquid

Unstable dividend track record

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

My Notes

Capture your thoughts, links and company narrative

Greggs plc Competitors

Wendy's

NasdaqGS:WEN

US$3.4b

Cheesecake Factory

NasdaqGS:CAKE

US$2.5b

Brinker International

NYSE:EAT

US$6.1b

Arcos Dorados Holdings

NYSE:ARCO

US$1.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Greggs
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	UK£35.30
52 Week High	UK£38.00
52 Week Low	UK£35.00
Beta	1.47
1 Month Change	n/a
3 Month Change	n/a
1 Year Change	n/a
3 Year Change	n/a
5 Year Change	n/a
Change since IPO	-42.60%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	GGGS.F	US Hospitality	US Market
7D	n/a	2.1%	2.8%
1Y	n/a	26.1%	24.5%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how GGGS.F performed against the US Hospitality industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how GGGS.F performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is GGGS.F's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GGGS.F volatility
GGGS.F Average Weekly Movement	n/a
Hospitality Industry Average Movement	5.7%
Market Average Movement	6.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	17.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	3.1%

Stable Share Price: GGGS.F's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: Insufficient data to determine GGGS.F's volatility change over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1939	31,839	Roisin Currie	corporate.greggs.co.uk

Greggs plc operates as a food-on-the-go retailer in the United Kingdom. It offers a range of fresh bakery products, sandwiches, and drinks. The company sells products to franchise and wholesale partners for sale in their own outlets.

Greggs plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Greggs's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GGGS.F fundamental statistics
Market cap	US$3.53b
Earnings (TTM)	US$172.05m
Revenue (TTM)	US$2.41b

20.5x

P/E Ratio

1.5x

P/S Ratio

Is GGGS.F overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GGGS.F income statement (TTM)
Revenue	UK£1.93b
Cost of Revenue	UK£750.50m
Gross Profit	UK£1.18b
Other Expenses	UK£1.04b
Earnings	UK£137.30m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 29, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	1.35
Gross Margin	61.04%
Net Profit Margin	7.13%
Debt/Equity Ratio	0%

How did GGGS.F perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.3%

Current Dividend Yield

48%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 14:36
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/29
Annual Earnings	2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Greggs plc is covered by 33 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Richard Taylor	Barclays
Robert Chantry	Berenberg
Matthew Abraham	Berenberg