Universal Technical Institute, Inc.

NYSE:UTI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

Universal Technical Institute Valuation

Is UTI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UTI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UTI ($19.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($71.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UTI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UTI?

Key metric: As UTI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UTI. This is calculated by dividing UTI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UTI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.7x
EarningsUS$22.61m
Market CapUS$1.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UTI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UTI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.6x
AFYA Afya
14.5x21.9%US$1.4b
PRDO Perdoceo Education
13.1x9.1%US$1.7b
LINC Lincoln Educational Services
48.5x60.6%US$478.2m
KLC KinderCare Learning Companies
46.3x42.5%US$2.7b
UTI Universal Technical Institute
46.7x41.0%US$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UTI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UTI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QSG QuantaSing Group
2.7x-21.4%US$143.12m
STG Sunlands Technology Group
1.4xn/aUS$91.73m
REDU RISE Education Cayman
1xn/aUS$40.41m
RGS Regis
0.5xn/aUS$39.58m
UTI 46.7xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UTI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UTI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UTI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.7x
Fair PE Ratio26.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UTI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UTI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.61
US$21.67
+10.5%
8.7%US$25.00US$19.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$16.55
US$21.17
+27.9%
5.7%US$22.00US$19.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$15.75
US$21.17
+34.4%
5.7%US$22.00US$19.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$17.45
US$21.17
+21.3%
5.7%US$22.00US$19.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$18.33
US$20.83
+13.7%
8.0%US$22.00US$18.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$16.07
US$19.80
+23.2%
6.7%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$15.81
US$19.80
+25.2%
6.7%US$22.00US$18.00n/a5
May ’25US$15.29
US$17.60
+15.1%
2.8%US$18.00US$17.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$14.63
US$17.60
+20.3%
2.8%US$18.00US$17.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$15.03
US$17.60
+17.1%
2.8%US$18.00US$17.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$14.45
US$15.20
+5.2%
11.3%US$17.00US$12.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$12.52
US$13.75
+9.8%
7.9%US$15.00US$12.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$11.94
US$13.75
+15.2%
7.9%US$15.00US$12.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$9.00
US$10.50
+16.7%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$16.554
Oct ’24US$8.38
US$10.50
+25.3%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$15.754
Sep ’24US$8.04
US$10.50
+30.6%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$17.454
Aug ’24US$7.24
US$10.75
+48.5%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$18.334
Jul ’24US$6.91
US$10.75
+55.6%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$16.074
Jun ’24US$6.24
US$10.75
+72.3%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$15.814
May ’24US$7.14
US$10.75
+50.6%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$15.294
Apr ’24US$7.38
US$10.75
+45.7%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$14.634
Mar ’24US$7.32
US$10.75
+46.9%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$15.034
Feb ’24US$7.58
US$10.75
+41.8%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$14.454
Jan ’24US$6.72
US$10.75
+60.0%
17.9%US$14.00US$9.00US$12.524
Dec ’23US$7.27
US$12.50
+71.9%
13.3%US$14.00US$10.00US$11.944
Nov ’23US$7.01
US$12.50
+78.3%
13.3%US$14.00US$10.00US$9.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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