Stock Analysis

Is Universal Technical Institute (NYSE:UTI) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:UTI
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (NYSE:UTI) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Universal Technical Institute

How Much Debt Does Universal Technical Institute Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Universal Technical Institute had debt of US$156.5m, up from US$67.5m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$152.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$4.01m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:UTI Debt to Equity History January 18th 2024

How Strong Is Universal Technical Institute's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Universal Technical Institute had liabilities of US$184.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$330.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$152.5m as well as receivables valued at US$31.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$331.1m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Universal Technical Institute has a market capitalization of US$733.9m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Carrying virtually no net debt, Universal Technical Institute has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Universal Technical Institute's net debt to EBITDA ratio is very low, at 0.082, suggesting the debt is only trivial. Although with EBIT only covering interest expenses 6.2 times over, the company is truly paying for borrowing. But the bad news is that Universal Technical Institute has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Universal Technical Institute can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Universal Technical Institute saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Universal Technical Institute's EBIT growth rate and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Universal Technical Institute's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Universal Technical Institute (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.