Stock Analysis

Sweetgreen, Inc. (NYSE:SG) Looks Just Right With A 25% Price Jump

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NYSE:SG

Sweetgreen, Inc. (NYSE:SG) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 209% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Sweetgreen is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have P/S ratios below 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Sweetgreen

NYSE:SG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

What Does Sweetgreen's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Sweetgreen's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sweetgreen.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sweetgreen would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 147% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Sweetgreen is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Sweetgreen's P/S?

Shares in Sweetgreen have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Sweetgreen's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sweetgreen you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sweetgreen, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.