Las Vegas Sands (LVS): Fresh Valuation Perspective Following Recent Pullback

Simply Wall St
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) stock caught some attention recently following a modest pullback this week. The shares have seen a month of strong returns, which raises questions about whether this dip could offer investors a thoughtful entry point.

See our latest analysis for Las Vegas Sands.

Las Vegas Sands has enjoyed impressive momentum lately, with a 33.7% 1-month share price return and a year-to-date gain above 30%. That said, some profit-taking after such a strong run is natural, and the recent pullback has not dented its very strong 1-year total shareholder return of 34.9%. Overall, short-term volatility aside, sentiment around the stock has clearly improved and investors seem to be positioning for continued growth.

If this recent surge has you wondering what other names might be outperforming, take the next step and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

But after such a run-up and with shares now trading just below analyst targets, is Las Vegas Sands an undervalued opportunity? Or is the market already factoring in the company’s future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 70% Undervalued

The narrative consensus puts Las Vegas Sands’ fair value much higher than its last close, suggesting a compelling gap between share price and projected fundamentals. This points to a company that the narrative sees as structurally undervalued, with strong catalysts supporting its outlook.

The full opening and ramp-up of The Londoner in Macao, with its 2,405 rooms and suites, is expected to boost revenues and cash flows significantly as the property leverages its scale and quality in a competitive market. Marina Bay Sands (MBS) in Singapore reported record EBITDA from high-value tourism and is expected to continue its growth trajectory, supported by increased visitor capacity following renovations. This is forecasted to directly impact revenue and EBITDA growth.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see how bold assumptions can push a stock’s upside this far? The main driver of this valuation is a set of ambitious operational upgrades and a forward-looking profit margin that could surprise even seasoned market watchers. Curious what future financial milestones are believed to justify such a high price? Discover the key projections inside the full narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $105.82 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent volatility in Macau’s gaming revenue and prolonged uncertainty around visitation trends continue to pose meaningful risks to the bullish outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Las Vegas Sands narrative.

Build Your Own Las Vegas Sands Narrative

Prefer to put the story together yourself? Take a few minutes to dig into the numbers and shape your own valuation outlook. You can Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Las Vegas Sands research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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