Stock Analysis

Boyd Gaming (NYSE:BYD) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NYSE:BYD
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Boyd Gaming Corporation (NYSE:BYD) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is Boyd Gaming's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Boyd Gaming had US$3.18b of debt, an increase on US$2.91b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$317.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.86b.

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NYSE:BYD Debt to Equity History March 27th 2025

How Healthy Is Boyd Gaming's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Boyd Gaming had liabilities of US$622.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.19b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$317.5m in cash and US$162.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$4.33b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$5.72b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

View our latest analysis for Boyd Gaming

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Boyd Gaming's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.3 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.4 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Sadly, Boyd Gaming's EBIT actually dropped 4.2% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Boyd Gaming can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Boyd Gaming produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Neither Boyd Gaming's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But we do take some comfort from its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Boyd Gaming is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Boyd Gaming (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Boyd Gaming might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.