Stock Analysis

Is Biglari Holdings (NYSE:BH.A) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Biglari Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BH.A) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Biglari Holdings

What Is Biglari Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Biglari Holdings had US$152.3m of debt in December 2020, down from US$180.3m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$119.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$32.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BH.A Debt to Equity History April 2nd 2021

How Healthy Is Biglari Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Biglari Holdings had liabilities of US$288.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$164.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$119.4m and US$22.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$311.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$414.4m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Given net debt is only 0.54 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Biglari Holdings's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.8 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Notably, Biglari Holdings's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 102% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Biglari Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Biglari Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Happily, Biglari Holdings's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. All these things considered, it appears that Biglari Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Biglari Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:BH.A

Biglari Holdings

Through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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