Vasta Platform Limited

NasdaqGS:VSTA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$200.4m

Vasta Platform Valuation

Is VSTA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VSTA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VSTA ($2.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VSTA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VSTA?

Key metric: As VSTA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VSTA. This is calculated by dividing VSTA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VSTA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesR$1.53b
Market CapR$1.16b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VSTA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VSTA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
NRDY Nerdy
0.6x6.4%US$172.4m
QSG QuantaSing Group
0.3x3.9%US$143.1m
APEI American Public Education
0.5x4.3%US$324.5m
CHGG Chegg
0.3x-15.1%US$179.4m
VSTA Vasta Platform
0.8x12.8%US$200.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VSTA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VSTA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MYND Mynd.ai
0.2xn/aUS$72.12m
WW WW International
0.09x-3.7%US$70.67m
BEDU Bright Scholar Education Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$57.37m
BODI Beachbody Company
0.1x-12.9%US$45.72m
VSTA 0.8xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies13PS012345+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VSTA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VSTA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VSTA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VSTA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VSTA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.50
US$2.68
+7.2%
7.0%US$2.85US$2.42n/a3
Nov ’25US$2.70
US$2.68
-0.8%
7.0%US$2.85US$2.42n/a3
Oct ’25US$2.60
US$2.92
+12.3%
8.1%US$3.16US$2.59n/a3
Sep ’25US$2.20
US$4.05
+83.9%
25.7%US$5.81US$3.13n/a4
Aug ’25US$2.96
US$4.18
+41.2%
25.3%US$5.72US$2.93n/a5
Jul ’25US$3.05
US$4.14
+35.6%
25.2%US$5.65US$2.90n/a5
Jun ’25US$3.50
US$4.98
+42.3%
15.7%US$6.14US$3.93n/a5
May ’25US$3.79
US$5.08
+34.0%
17.9%US$6.19US$3.85n/a5
Apr ’25US$4.01
US$5.18
+29.2%
17.5%US$6.41US$3.99n/a5
Mar ’25US$3.85
US$5.22
+35.5%
16.5%US$6.40US$3.93n/a5
Feb ’25US$4.09
US$4.93
+20.6%
14.2%US$5.91US$3.93n/a4
Jan ’25US$4.46
US$5.38
+20.8%
16.7%US$6.33US$4.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$4.17
US$5.38
+29.2%
16.7%US$6.33US$4.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$4.02
US$5.15
+28.2%
16.3%US$6.21US$3.88US$2.704
Oct ’24US$4.13
US$5.08
+23.0%
15.0%US$5.96US$3.90US$2.604
Sep ’24US$4.02
US$5.10
+27.0%
15.0%US$5.99US$3.92US$2.204
Aug ’24US$3.51
US$5.62
+60.0%
7.5%US$6.19US$5.20US$2.963
Jul ’24US$3.35
US$5.84
+74.3%
12.1%US$6.83US$5.22US$3.053
Jun ’24US$3.20
US$5.88
+83.7%
13.7%US$6.83US$4.96US$3.504
May ’24US$4.12
US$5.78
+40.5%
11.9%US$6.52US$4.92US$3.795
Apr ’24US$3.19
US$5.78
+81.2%
11.9%US$6.52US$4.92US$4.015
Mar ’24US$3.90
US$5.80
+48.7%
11.6%US$6.60US$4.98US$3.855
Feb ’24US$4.20
US$6.02
+43.3%
8.9%US$6.62US$5.05US$4.095
Jan ’24US$4.00
US$6.08
+52.0%
5.1%US$6.59US$5.57US$4.467
Dec ’23US$3.82
US$5.86
+53.3%
5.2%US$6.35US$5.28US$4.178
Nov ’23US$5.06
US$6.29
+24.4%
16.0%US$8.87US$5.37US$4.028

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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