Lincoln Educational Services Corporation

NasdaqGS:LINC Stock Report

Mkt Cap: US$208.2m

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Lincoln Educational Services Valuation

Is LINC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LINC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LINC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA39x
PEG Ratio10.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LINC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LINC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.3x
STG Sunlands Technology Group
2.1xn/aUS$190.4m
UTI Universal Technical Institute
20.3x65.3%US$260.5m
JZ Jianzhi Education Technology Group
148xn/aUS$103.6m
EXDW Exceed World
11xn/aUS$45.4m
LINC Lincoln Educational Services
9.9x0.9%US$208.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LINC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (45.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LINC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.4%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LINC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (20.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LINC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LINC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.9x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LINC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LINC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LINC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LINC's fair value for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LINC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.58
US$8.25
+25.4%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a4
Jan ’24US$5.79
US$8.25
+42.5%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a4
Dec ’23US$6.55
US$8.25
+26.0%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a4
Nov ’23US$6.21
US$8.25
+32.9%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a4
Oct ’23US$5.44
US$8.25
+51.7%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a4
Sep ’23US$6.32
US$8.33
+31.9%
7.5%US$9.00US$7.50n/a3
Aug ’23US$7.31
US$8.83
+20.8%
7.1%US$9.50US$8.00n/a3
Jul ’23US$6.31
US$8.83
+40.0%
7.1%US$9.50US$8.00n/a3
Jun ’23US$5.97
US$9.25
+54.9%
2.7%US$9.50US$9.00n/a2
May ’23US$7.15
US$11.50
+60.8%
27.7%US$16.00US$9.00n/a3
Apr ’23US$7.38
US$11.13
+50.7%
25.5%US$16.00US$9.00n/a4
Mar ’23US$7.71
US$11.13
+44.3%
25.5%US$16.00US$9.00n/a4
Feb ’23US$6.71
US$10.88
+62.1%
22.1%US$15.00US$9.00US$6.434
Jan ’23US$7.47
US$10.88
+45.6%
22.1%US$15.00US$9.00US$5.794
Dec ’22US$7.21
US$10.88
+50.8%
22.1%US$15.00US$9.00US$6.554
Nov ’22US$7.47
US$10.63
+42.2%
18.6%US$14.00US$9.00US$6.214
Oct ’22US$6.74
US$10.63
+57.6%
18.6%US$14.00US$9.00US$5.444
Sep ’22US$6.44
US$10.63
+65.0%
18.6%US$14.00US$9.00US$6.324
Aug ’22US$6.94
US$10.63
+53.1%
18.6%US$14.00US$9.00US$7.314
Jul ’22US$8.00
US$10.63
+32.8%
18.6%US$14.00US$9.00US$6.314
Jun ’22US$7.69
US$10.63
+38.2%
18.6%US$14.00US$9.00US$5.974
May ’22US$6.42
US$9.75
+51.9%
16.4%US$12.00US$7.50US$7.154
Apr ’22US$6.48
US$9.75
+50.5%
16.4%US$12.00US$7.50US$7.384
Mar ’22US$5.97
US$9.50
+59.1%
17.8%US$12.00US$7.50US$7.714
Feb ’22US$5.99
US$9.19
+53.4%
22.9%US$12.00US$6.25US$6.714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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