Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does 2U (NASDAQ:TWOU) Use Debt?

NasdaqGS:TWOU
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, 2U, Inc. (NASDAQ:TWOU) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for 2U

What Is 2U's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that 2U had debt of US$861.6m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from US$935.0m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$53.3m in cash leading to net debt of about US$808.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:TWOU Debt to Equity History October 27th 2023

How Strong Is 2U's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that 2U had liabilities of US$295.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$949.1m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$53.3m in cash and US$117.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$165.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, 2U would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine 2U's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, 2U made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$929m, which is a fall of 4.3%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months 2U produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$34m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the fact is that it incinerated US$76m of cash in the last twelve months, and has precious few liquid assets in comparison to its liabilities. So we consider this a high risk stock, and we're worried its share price could sink faster than than a dingy with a great white shark attacking it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for 2U (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether 2U is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.