Stock Analysis

Sabre Corporation (NASDAQ:SABR) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 49%

NasdaqGS:SABR
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Sabre Corporation (NASDAQ:SABR) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 49% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 50% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may consider Sabre as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Sabre

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SABR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024

How Sabre Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Sabre has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Sabre will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Sabre's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 15% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 118% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.9% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Sabre is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

The southerly movements of Sabre's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Sabre's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sabre (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sabre's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sabre is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.