Stock Analysis

Here's Why Light & Wonder (NASDAQ:LNW) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NasdaqGS:LNW
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Light & Wonder, Inc. (NASDAQ:LNW) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Light & Wonder

What Is Light & Wonder's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Light & Wonder had US$3.89b of debt in December 2022, down from US$8.69b, one year before. However, it also had US$914.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$2.98b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:LNW Debt to Equity History April 14th 2023

A Look At Light & Wonder's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Light & Wonder had liabilities of US$622.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.23b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$914.0m as well as receivables valued at US$479.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$3.46b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$5.51b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Light & Wonder's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Light & Wonder's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.3, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Looking on the bright side, Light & Wonder boosted its EBIT by a silky 51% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Light & Wonder's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last two years, Light & Wonder actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Light & Wonder's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Light & Wonder's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. In light of our reservations about the company's balance sheet, it seems sensible to check if insiders have been selling shares recently.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.