Jack in the Box Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Jack in the Box's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -48.6%, while the Hospitality industry saw earnings growing at 29.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.1% per year.
Key information
-48.59%
Earnings growth rate
-47.52%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality Industry Growth | 19.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.13% |
| Return on equity | n/a |
| Net Margin | -7.36% |
| Next Earnings Update | 12 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 18
JACK: 2026 EBITDA Recovery Will Depend On Interim CEO And Debt Refinancing
Analysts have trimmed the Jack in the Box fair value estimate from about $18.26 to roughly $16.12, reflecting lower price targets across the Street as they factor in weaker recent sales trends, pressure on profit margins, and higher expected interest costs tied to the upcoming refinancing of about $650M in debt. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Jack in the Box shows a wide range of opinions, with most firms trimming price targets and a few taking a more constructive stance after the selloff.
Narrative Update • Jul 01
JACK: Debt Refinancing And Weak Same Store Sales Will Pressure Returns
Analysts have reduced the Jack in the Box fair value estimate to $12 from $10, citing repeated attempts to expand beyond its core business, weaker recent sales trends, pressured margins, and upcoming refinancing needs on about $650M of debt that are weighing on their price targets and earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Jack in the Box points to a more cautious tone, with several bearish analysts trimming fair value estimates and price targets as they reassess the balance of execution risk, leverage and growth prospects.Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Jack In The Box: A Two-Front Strategy Revisited
Summary Jack in the Box Inc. is undergoing a leadership-driven turnaround, emphasizing barbell pricing and operational restructuring. JACK’s deleveraging efforts target $35–$45 million in real estate sales for FY 2026, but reaching 4x net LT debt/EBITDA by FY 2028 remains challenging. Q2 FY 2026 showed nearly flat same-store sales and an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~20.1%, reinforcing early signs of barbell strategy traction. I maintain a tactical Hold with a ~$16.40 price target, citing structural challenges and valuation risks despite potential for a 30% upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 17
JACK: Debt Refinancing Will Set Stage For Interim CEO EBITDA Execution
Analysts have reduced their expectations for Jack in the Box, cutting price targets across the Street, with several now clustered in the low to mid teens in dollar terms. They cite pressured same-store sales, execution missteps, franchisee profitability challenges and refinancing needs that could increase annual interest expense.Narrative Update • Jun 02
JACK: Debt Refinancing Headwinds Will Set Up EBITDA Guidance Execution Test
Analysts have lowered their average price targets on Jack in the Box by roughly one third, with cuts across several firms reflecting concerns about weaker recent sales trends, ongoing franchisee margin pressure, and the refinancing of about $650M of debt that could increase annual interest costs. Analyst Commentary Research commentary around Jack in the Box has turned more cautious overall, with several firms lowering ratings or cutting price targets following weaker same store sales in fiscal Q2, reduced guidance, and concern around higher interest expense tied to refinancing about US$650m of debt.Narrative Update • May 18
JACK: Turnaround Plan Will Rely On 2026 EBITDA Recovery Under New Interim CEO
Jack in the Box's analyst-derived fair value estimate has been reduced from $20.56 to $18.26, as analysts reset price targets across the board in response to weaker same-store sales, lowered guidance, leadership changes, ongoing concern about franchisee profitability, and upcoming refinancing costs. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a wide range of views on Jack in the Box, with most firms cutting price targets but differing on how much value they still see in the stock.Narrative Update • May 03
JACK: Weak Same Store Sales And Governance Turmoil Will Pressure Future Returns
Jack in the Box's analyst price target has been lowered by a cluster of recent Street revisions, with cuts such as Citi's $9 move and several other trims that are being framed around softer same-store-sales trends, limited unit growth, and questions around margin visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Jack in the Box has tilted more cautious, with a series of price target cuts following company updates that highlighted pressure on same-store-sales, limited unit growth, and questions around margin visibility.Narrative Update • Apr 16
JACK: Weak Same Store Sales And Governance Fight Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the Jack in the Box price target by a few dollars, reflecting ongoing concerns around weak same store sales trends, limited unit growth, and margin visibility, even as some recent research points to a potential second half same store sales recovery and modestly better long term profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Jack in the Box reflects a mixed tone, but the cautious signals stand out.Narrative Update • Apr 01
JACK: Sales Pressures And Governance Fight Will Shape Returns Going Forward
The analyst price target for Jack in the Box has been revised lower from $16 to $10, as analysts factor in weaker same store sales trends, softer revenue expectations, and reduced margin visibility highlighted across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Jack in the Box shows a split view, but the more cautious voices have started to weigh more heavily as weaker same store sales trends and softer revenue expectations become clearer.Narrative Update • Dec 19
JACK: Turnaround Plan Will Seek EBITDA Recovery Amid Ongoing Sales And Margin Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Jack in the Box to about $20.56 from $19.89, reflecting modestly higher long term valuation multiples even as they factor in Del Taco's sale, weak same store sales trends, and a multi year turnaround under the Jack on Track plan in a challenging quick service backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research following the latest quarterly update has coalesced around lower price targets, but with a split view on the long term potential of Jack in the Box as a streamlined, standalone brand following the Del Taco sale.Narrative Update • Dec 05
JACK: Turnaround Efforts Will Navigate Weaker Sales Toward Modest 2026 Recovery
The analyst price target for Jack in the Box has been reduced by approximately $0.43 per share to about $19.89, as analysts factor in weaker near term same store sales, margin pressures despite modestly better profit margins, and updated 2026 guidance for the standalone business following the Del Taco sale. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Jack in the Box following the Q4 earnings release and the announced sale of Del Taco.Narrative Update • Nov 21
JACK: Ongoing Turnaround Efforts Will Drive Sequential Sales Improvement Into 2026
Analysts have lowered their price target for Jack in the Box from approximately $23.06 to $20.32. They cite persistent same-store sales pressures, softer industry trends, and the company's revised guidance following the Del Taco divestiture and recent earnings results.Narrative Update • Aug 08
Chicago And Durham Markets Will Spur Urban Modernization
With Jack in the Box’s future P/E and revenue growth forecasts both essentially unchanged, the consensus analyst price target saw only a negligible downward adjustment to $25.00. What's in the News Jack in the Box updated earnings guidance for fiscal 2025 to operating EPS of $4.55 to $4.73.Analysis Article • Jul 22
Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ:JACK) Stock Catapults 29% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Jack in the Box Inc. ( NASDAQ:JACK ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in...Analysis Article • May 30
Revenues Working Against Jack in the Box Inc.'s (NASDAQ:JACK) Share Price Following 25% Dive
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Jack in the Box Inc. ( NASDAQ:JACK ) share price has dived 25% in the last...New Narrative • May 08
Technology Upgrades And New Restaurants Will Drive Future Success
Strategic investments in technology and menu optimization are driving enhanced customer engagement, revenue growth, and improved margins through digital sales and increased check sizes.Seeking Alpha • Mar 31
Jack In The Box: A New Hope Inside The Box
Summary Jack in the Box remains profitable amid inflation, supported by operational efficiency and a strong balance sheet, positioning it for a potential rebound. JACK's focus on franchised restaurants reduces capital requirements and stabilizes cash flow, making it resilient against inflationary pressures and interest rate fluctuations. Despite high borrowings, JACK's cash reserves and fixed interest rates provide stability, with a DCF model indicating a 20% upside potential, making the stock undervalued. Technical indicators suggest potential entry points as JACK trades near its 52-week low, with early signs of a bullish divergence and decreasing selling pressure. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 29
Revenues Working Against Jack in the Box Inc.'s (NASDAQ:JACK) Share Price Following 28% Dive
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Jack in the Box Inc. ( NASDAQ:JACK ) shares are down a considerable 28% in the...Analysis Article • Mar 15
Jack in the Box (NASDAQ:JACK) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.44
Jack in the Box Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:JACK ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.44 per share on 8th of April. The...Seeking Alpha • Mar 03
Jack in the Box: Why Earnings Trends Matter More Than The CEO Shift
Summary Jack in the Box experienced significant volatility following the unexpected resignation of CEO Harris, but Q1 FY 2025 results exceeded EPS expectations, showing resilience. Despite a 3.7% year-over-year decline in top-line sales and challenges from Del Taco, Jack in the Box's same-store sales increased slightly, indicating stability. The company is focusing on innovation and expansion, particularly in Florida and Georgia, while continuing to reduce debt and manage costs effectively. With positive signs from restructuring and strategic expansion, I maintain a $60 price target for Jack in the Box, offering a potential 58% upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 01
Jack in the Box (NASDAQ:JACK) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.44
Jack in the Box Inc. ( NASDAQ:JACK ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.44 per share on the 8th of April...Analysis Article • Jan 08
An Intrinsic Calculation For Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ:JACK) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Jack in the Box fair value estimate is US$66.55 Current share...Seeking Alpha • Jan 05
Jack in the Box: The Undervalued Gem Poised To Double In 2025
Summary Jack in the Box is well positioned 2-3x through 2025-2029. A 4.3% dividend is well-supported by cash flow. JACK stock is trading at 43% of its historical valuation based on FY25 estimates. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Jack in the Box makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 26 | 1,432 | -105 | 153 | 0 |
| 18 Jan 26 | 1,444 | -97 | 151 | 0 |
| 28 Sep 25 | 1,465 | -81 | 157 | 0 |
| 06 Jul 25 | 1,319 | 96 | 131 | 0 |
| 13 Apr 25 | 1,355 | -49 | 133 | 0 |
| 19 Jan 25 | 1,455 | -44 | 142 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 24 | 1,571 | -37 | 146 | 0 |
| 07 Jul 24 | 1,595 | -37 | 157 | 0 |
| 14 Apr 24 | 1,622 | 115 | 166 | 0 |
| 21 Jan 24 | 1,653 | 116 | 169 | 0 |
| 01 Oct 23 | 1,692 | 131 | 174 | 0 |
| 09 Jul 23 | 1,723 | 155 | 163 | 0 |
| 16 Apr 23 | 1,724 | 148 | 163 | 0 |
| 22 Jan 23 | 1,650 | 130 | 151 | 0 |
| 02 Oct 22 | 1,468 | 116 | 132 | 0 |
| 10 Jul 22 | 1,344 | 109 | 115 | 0 |
| 17 Apr 22 | 1,215 | 126 | 97 | 0 |
| 23 Jan 22 | 1,150 | 154 | 88 | 0 |
| 03 Oct 21 | 1,144 | 166 | 83 | 0 |
| 04 Jul 21 | 1,121 | 165 | 76 | 0 |
| 11 Apr 21 | 1,093 | 157 | 68 | 0 |
| 17 Jan 21 | 1,052 | 132 | 73 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 20 | 1,022 | 89 | 81 | 0 |
| 05 Jul 20 | 987 | 74 | 76 | 0 |
| 12 Apr 20 | 967 | 55 | 87 | 0 |
| 19 Jan 20 | 967 | 69 | 81 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 19 | 950 | 92 | 76 | 0 |
| 07 Jul 19 | 906 | 88 | 91 | 0 |
| 14 Apr 19 | 872 | 123 | 86 | 0 |
| 20 Jan 19 | 866 | 123 | 95 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 870 | 104 | 105 | 0 |
| 08 Jul 18 | 924 | 117 | 106 | 0 |
| 15 Apr 18 | 982 | 101 | 115 | 0 |
| 21 Jan 18 | 1,039 | 107 | 114 | 0 |
| 01 Oct 17 | 1,097 | 129 | 117 | 0 |
| 09 Jul 17 | 1,264 | 130 | 143 | 0 |
| 14 Apr 17 | 1,386 | 129 | 160 | 0 |
| 22 Jan 17 | 1,482 | 127 | 181 | 0 |
| 02 Oct 16 | 1,162 | 106 | 155 | 0 |
| 03 Jul 16 | 1,555 | 117 | 213 | 0 |
| 10 Apr 16 | 1,546 | 115 | 218 | 0 |
| 17 Jan 16 | 1,543 | 109 | 224 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 15 | 1,540 | 113 | 221 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: JACK is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: JACK is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: JACK is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 48.6% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare JACK's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: JACK is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Hospitality industry (21.3%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: JACK's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/27 22:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/27 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/12 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Jack in the Box Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Sara Senatore | BofA Global Research |