Stock Analysis

What Duolingo (DUOL)'s Strong Earnings Outlook and AI Advances Mean For Shareholders

  • Duolingo recently reported that it is expected to deliver a significant year-over-year increase in both earnings per share and revenue in its forthcoming earnings report, backed by strong analyst sentiment and positive business developments.
  • Integration of AI across Duolingo’s operations has been highlighted as enhancing productivity and expanding international market growth, positioning the company for continued advances despite some share price volatility.
  • We’ll look at how strong earnings expectations and analyst optimism could reshape Duolingo’s long-term investment narrative.

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Duolingo Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Duolingo shareholder, you need to believe in the company’s long-term ability to translate rapid international user growth and innovative AI integration into ongoing revenue and earnings expansion. The latest news, highlighting strong earnings expectations and robust analyst sentiment despite short-term share price swings, doesn't fundamentally shift the most important catalyst right now, international user adoption, or the biggest risk, which remains competitive threats from tech giants and potential user fatigue.

Among recent announcements, Duolingo’s AI-first approach stands out for its relevance. The company’s integration of artificial intelligence to optimize productivity, while expanding headcount and launching new features, directly supports margin improvement and global reach. This continued AI investment is closely linked to international growth prospects, which remain central to Duolingo’s near-term and long-term catalysts.

But in contrast, investors should be aware of the growing intensity of competition from large tech firms and new AI-powered language tools…

Read the full narrative on Duolingo (it's free!)

Duolingo's narrative projects $1.7 billion in revenue and $368.7 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 23.7% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of $251.5 million from the current $117.2 million.

Uncover how Duolingo's forecasts yield a $456.74 fair value, a 46% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DUOL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
DUOL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St Community members assigned fair values between US$265.02 and US$680.60 for Duolingo, with 27 unique perspectives represented. Many see strong international user growth as a key driver, but shifting global trends could reshape opinions, explore their views to see how widely expectations diverge.

Explore 27 other fair value estimates on Duolingo - why the stock might be worth 15% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Duolingo Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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