Stock Analysis

Is DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:DKNG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ:DKNG) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for DraftKings

What Is DraftKings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, DraftKings had US$1.26b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$815.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$439.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:DKNG Debt to Equity History October 10th 2024

How Strong Is DraftKings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that DraftKings had liabilities of US$1.37b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.55b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$815.9m and US$65.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$2.04b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, DraftKings has a titanic market capitalization of US$18.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine DraftKings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year DraftKings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 43%, to US$4.3b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though DraftKings managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost US$470m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$406m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for DraftKings that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.