Stock Analysis

Investors five-year losses continue as Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ:CBRL) dips a further 5.9% this week, earnings continue to decline

NasdaqGS:CBRL
Source: Shutterstock

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBRL) share price has gained 16% in the last three months. But that is little comfort to those holding over the last half decade, sitting on a big loss. Indeed, the share price is down 71% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. But it could be that the fall was overdone.

With the stock having lost 5.9% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

Check out our latest analysis for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the five years over which the share price declined, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 28% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 22% compound annual share price fall. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:CBRL Earnings Per Share Growth November 4th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's TSR for the last 5 years was -65%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store shareholders are down 25% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 33%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Cracker Barrel Old Country Store better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course Cracker Barrel Old Country Store may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.