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Subdued Growth No Barrier To ATA Creativity Global's (NASDAQ:AACG) Price
There wouldn't be many who think ATA Creativity Global's (NASDAQ:AACG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Consumer Services industry in the United States is similar at about 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for ATA Creativity Global
What Does ATA Creativity Global's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The recent revenue growth at ATA Creativity Global would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on ATA Creativity Global will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for ATA Creativity Global, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ATA Creativity Global would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.2% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 37% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that ATA Creativity Global is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that ATA Creativity Global's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
Having said that, be aware ATA Creativity Global is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:AACG
ATA Creativity Global
Provides educational services to individual students through its training center network in China and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.