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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About ATA Creativity Global's (NASDAQ:AACG) Cash Burn Situation
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
So should ATA Creativity Global (NASDAQ:AACG) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
View our latest analysis for ATA Creativity Global
When Might ATA Creativity Global Run Out Of Money?
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In March 2022, ATA Creativity Global had CN¥62m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥36m. That means it had a cash runway of around 21 months as of March 2022. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
How Well Is ATA Creativity Global Growing?
At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that ATA Creativity Global actually boosted its cash burn by 7.8%, year on year. The silver lining is that revenue was up 24%, showing the business is growing at the top line. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how ATA Creativity Global has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
How Easily Can ATA Creativity Global Raise Cash?
While ATA Creativity Global seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
ATA Creativity Global's cash burn of CN¥36m is about 14% of its CN¥268m market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
So, Should We Worry About ATA Creativity Global's Cash Burn?
On this analysis of ATA Creativity Global's cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about ATA Creativity Global's situation. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 3 warning signs for ATA Creativity Global you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:AACG
ATA Creativity Global
Provides educational services to individual students through its training center network in China and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.