Stock Analysis

Does Performance Food Group (NYSE:PFGC) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

NYSE:PFGC
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For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Performance Food Group (NYSE:PFGC), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Performance Food Group with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Performance Food Group

Performance Food Group's Improving Profits

In the last three years Performance Food Group's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. In previous twelve months, Performance Food Group's EPS has risen from US$2.57 to US$2.80. That's a fair increase of 9.0%.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Performance Food Group maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 2.4% to US$55b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:PFGC Earnings and Revenue History October 6th 2024

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Performance Food Group's future profits.

Are Performance Food Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$12b company like Performance Food Group. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$244m. This suggests that leadership will be very mindful of shareholders' interests when making decisions!

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Performance Food Group, with market caps over US$8.0b, is about US$13m.

Performance Food Group offered total compensation worth US$9.5m to its CEO in the year to July 2023. That seems pretty reasonable, especially given it's below the median for similar sized companies. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Does Performance Food Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

As previously touched on, Performance Food Group is a growing business, which is encouraging. The fact that EPS is growing is a genuine positive for Performance Food Group, but the pleasant picture gets better than that. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Performance Food Group that you need to be mindful of.

While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.