Games Workshop Group PLC

OTCPK:GMWK.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9b

Games Workshop Group Valuation

Is GMWK.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GMWK.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GMWK.F ($173) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($99.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GMWK.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GMWK.F?

Key metric: As GMWK.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GMWK.F. This is calculated by dividing GMWK.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GMWK.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.8x
EarningsUK£151.10m
Market CapUK£4.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GMWK.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GMWK.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
MAT Mattel
11.7x3.5%US$6.4b
BC Brunswick
18.2x19.9%US$5.3b
GOLF Acushnet Holdings
23.6x8.2%US$4.4b
PII Polaris
18.9x20.2%US$3.8b
GMWK.F Games Workshop Group
30.8x4.4%US$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GMWK.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GMWK.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Leisure Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GMWK.F 30.8xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GMWK.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GMWK.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GMWK.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GMWK.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GMWK.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$173.00
US$163.04
-5.8%
5.6%US$171.29US$150.35n/a3
Nov ’25US$158.00
US$160.33
+1.5%
4.9%US$171.36US$153.84n/a3
Oct ’25US$136.41
US$160.24
+17.5%
2.7%US$166.17US$156.28n/a3
Sep ’25US$137.65
US$156.17
+13.5%
2.7%US$161.96US$152.32n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$156.17
0%
2.7%US$161.96US$152.32n/a3
Jul ’25US$135.50
US$155.52
+14.8%
3.1%US$161.21US$149.83n/a4
Jun ’25US$133.00
US$143.83
+8.1%
14.3%US$159.29US$108.69n/a4
May ’25US$117.10
US$143.83
+22.8%
14.3%US$159.29US$108.69n/a4
Apr ’25US$127.04
US$145.64
+14.6%
14.3%US$161.30US$110.06n/a4
Mar ’25US$120.01
US$146.26
+21.9%
14.3%US$161.98US$110.53n/a4
Feb ’25US$128.25
US$146.26
+14.0%
14.3%US$161.98US$110.53n/a4
Jan ’25US$123.30
US$145.60
+18.1%
14.3%US$161.25US$110.03n/a4
Dec ’24US$136.00
US$143.99
+5.9%
14.3%US$159.46US$108.81US$173.004
Nov ’24US$119.00
US$140.18
+17.8%
14.0%US$154.25US$106.51US$158.004
Oct ’24US$131.00
US$140.56
+7.3%
13.6%US$154.80US$107.74US$136.414
Sep ’24n/a
US$146.45
0%
13.6%US$161.29US$112.26US$137.654
Aug ’24US$148.00
US$146.45
-1.0%
13.6%US$161.29US$112.26n/a4
Jul ’24US$136.00
US$134.20
-1.3%
10.5%US$146.98US$111.19US$135.504
Jun ’24n/a
US$124.44
0%
9.8%US$140.61US$108.26US$133.004
May ’24n/a
US$124.44
0%
9.8%US$140.61US$108.26US$117.104
Apr ’24US$116.50
US$120.81
+3.7%
8.4%US$132.13US$106.44US$127.044
Mar ’24US$112.00
US$120.81
+7.9%
8.4%US$132.13US$106.44US$120.014
Feb ’24US$113.05
US$120.81
+6.9%
8.4%US$132.13US$106.44US$128.254
Jan ’24US$103.07
US$104.37
+1.3%
8.5%US$117.84US$95.40US$123.304
Dec ’23n/a
US$104.37
0%
8.5%US$117.84US$95.40US$136.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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