The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

OTCPK:BKGF.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.0b

Berkeley Group Holdings Valuation

Is BKGF.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BKGF.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BKGF.F ($48.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($35.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BKGF.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BKGF.F?

Key metric: As BKGF.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BKGF.F. This is calculated by dividing BKGF.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BKGF.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
EarningsUK£381.70m
Market CapUK£3.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BKGF.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BKGF.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
KBH KB Home
8x6.6%US$4.9b
MDC M.D.C. Holdings
11.9x8.0%US$4.7b
SKY Champion Homes
35.1x21.0%US$5.3b
TMHC Taylor Morrison Home
7.8x10.7%US$6.3b
BKGF.F Berkeley Group Holdings
10.4x-5.5%US$4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BKGF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BKGF.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
BKGF.F 10.4xIndustry Avg. 10.9xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BKGF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the US Consumer Durables industry average (10.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BKGF.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BKGF.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BKGF.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BKGF.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$48.25
US$60.23
+24.8%
10.6%US$70.20US$50.69n/a16
Dec ’25US$51.66
US$65.37
+26.5%
10.7%US$81.89US$52.77n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
US$67.54
0%
10.4%US$83.43US$53.76n/a16
Oct ’25US$62.40
US$69.73
+11.7%
10.5%US$85.95US$55.38n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
US$68.22
0%
10.9%US$85.22US$54.91n/a17
Aug ’25n/a
US$66.28
0%
10.5%US$83.33US$53.69n/a18
Jul ’25US$58.20
US$64.52
+10.8%
10.5%US$81.21US$52.33n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
US$64.16
0%
9.2%US$73.75US$52.61n/a17
May ’25n/a
US$62.37
0%
8.8%US$71.49US$51.93n/a17
Apr ’25US$62.43
US$62.52
+0.1%
8.5%US$72.24US$52.47n/a16
Mar ’25US$60.88
US$62.52
+2.7%
8.5%US$72.24US$52.47n/a16
Feb ’25US$63.29
US$62.52
-1.2%
8.5%US$72.24US$52.47n/a16
Jan ’25n/a
US$60.54
0%
9.4%US$67.70US$48.50n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
US$59.14
0%
10.1%US$67.96US$48.73US$51.6616
Nov ’24n/a
US$56.05
0%
9.3%US$64.34US$46.68n/a17
Oct ’24US$51.23
US$55.07
+7.5%
11.8%US$64.55US$37.97US$62.4019
Sep ’24US$51.75
US$57.02
+10.2%
11.8%US$67.32US$39.60n/a18
Aug ’24n/a
US$57.36
0%
11.8%US$67.75US$39.85n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
US$57.13
0%
12.2%US$67.18US$39.52US$58.2018
Jun ’24n/a
US$56.39
0%
9.5%US$65.81US$47.32n/a16
May ’24n/a
US$56.43
0%
8.7%US$63.30US$47.76n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
US$53.33
0%
10.9%US$61.37US$38.36US$62.4315
Mar ’24n/a
US$52.41
0%
11.3%US$62.14US$37.29US$60.8816
Feb ’24n/a
US$54.09
0%
11.2%US$64.13US$38.48US$63.2916
Jan ’24n/a
US$53.91
0%
11.6%US$64.38US$38.63n/a16
Dec ’23n/a
US$52.51
0%
11.9%US$63.44US$38.07n/a16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 13:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Berkeley Group Holdings plc is covered by 37 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Emily BiddulphBarclays
Jonathan BellBarclays
Harry GoadBerenberg