Stock Analysis

We Think Under Armour (NYSE:UAA) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NYSE:UAA
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Under Armour, Inc. (NYSE:UAA) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Under Armour

What Is Under Armour's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Under Armour had US$675.0m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has US$703.6m in cash, leading to a US$28.6m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:UAA Debt to Equity History October 19th 2023

How Strong Is Under Armour's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Under Armour had liabilities of US$1.46b due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.40b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$703.6m and US$695.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.46b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Under Armour is worth US$3.14b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Under Armour boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

But the bad news is that Under Armour has seen its EBIT plunge 19% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Under Armour's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Under Armour may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Under Armour's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

Although Under Armour's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$28.6m. So while Under Armour does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Under Armour has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.