Stock Analysis

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

NYSE:TOL
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Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.21 per share on the 26th of January. This means the annual payment will be 0.8% of the current stock price, which is lower than the industry average.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Toll Brothers' stock price has increased by 39% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

Check out our latest analysis for Toll Brothers

Toll Brothers' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. However, Toll Brothers' earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 6.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 7.2%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:TOL Historic Dividend January 4th 2024

Toll Brothers Is Still Building Its Track Record

It is great to see that Toll Brothers has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 7 years was $0.32 in 2017, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.84. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 15% per annum over that time. Toll Brothers has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Toll Brothers has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 22% per annum. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

Toll Brothers Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think Toll Brothers might even raise payments in the future. The company is easily earning enough to cover its dividend payments and it is great to see that these earnings are being translated into cash flow. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Toll Brothers that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.