Smith Douglas Homes Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Smith Douglas Homes's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -51.5%, while the Consumer Durables industry saw earnings growing at 2.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 10.8% per year. Smith Douglas Homes's return on equity is 12.3%, and it has net margins of 0.9%.
Key information
-51.45%
Earnings growth rate
-125.51%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables Industry Growth | 24.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.83% |
| Return on equity | 12.33% |
| Net Margin | 0.90% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 23
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Order Trends And ASP Pressure
Smith Douglas Homes' average analyst price target has been adjusted lower to a range of $12 to $14 per share, as analysts incorporate reduced estimates and recent order softness following the latest earnings call, while largely maintaining neutral ratings on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Smith Douglas Homes has centered on reset expectations and a more cautious stance on near term execution, with most firms starting or reiterating neutral views even as they update targets and models.Narrative Update • Apr 07
SDHC: Future Returns Will Reflect Order Trends And Margin Assumptions
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes has shifted to $13.13. Analysts cite adjusted estimates following recent earnings, a lower assumed profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Mar 24
SDHC: Future Returns Will Reflect Order Trends And Earnings Multiples
Narrative Update on Smith Douglas Homes The analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes is revised from $16.50 to $13.13, reflecting analysts' lower estimates and tempered expectations following Q4 order trends and Q1 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Smith Douglas Homes point to a more cautious stance, with several firms trimming price targets after the latest earnings call and forward guidance.Seeking Alpha • Mar 12
Smith Douglas: Upgrade To Strong Buy
Summary Smith Douglas Homes is upgraded to Strong Buy, as its stock price has reset below $13, despite operational strengths remaining intact. SDHC's 'pace over price' strategy prioritizes sales velocity over margins, resulting in compressed profitability, but maintaining production and market share. Insider buying at $16.80–$19.32 signals management's confidence, while a conservative 9% debt-to-capitalization balance sheet supports resilience. Despite sector headwinds, SDHC's asset-light model, rapid build cycle, and expanded community count position it for long-term value compounding. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Mar 10
SDHC: Future Returns Will Rely On Discount Rates And Earnings Multiples
Analysts have adjusted their 12-month price target for Smith Douglas Homes down by $1 to $16.50, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates and earnings multiples while keeping their fair value view unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the revised US$16.50 price target focuses less on a change in fundamental outlook and more on fine tuning of valuation inputs, particularly discount rates and earnings multiples.Narrative Update • Feb 22
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Discount Rate Assumptions
Analysts have reduced their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $16.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, long-term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the adjusted $16.50 target as still allowing room for upside if Smith Douglas Homes delivers on its revenue growth assumptions and meets current profit margin expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 08
SDHC: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution At Reasonably Priced Levels
Analysts have reduced their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $17, citing a reasonable valuation, solid return on equity and medium term growth prospects as key factors behind the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Smith Douglas Homes are giving investors a mixed but fairly balanced message, with price targets being fine tuned rather than reset in a major way.
New Narrative • Feb 02
Land Light Expansion And Presale Model Will Support Future Stability For This Homebuilder
Catalysts About Smith Douglas Homes Smith Douglas Homes builds and sells affordable, quality homes across key markets in the South and broader Southeast and Southern United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analysis Article • Jan 28
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Narrative Update • Jan 22
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Risk At Current Price Levels
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes has been trimmed by $0.25 to $16.50 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with recent research pointing to a more neutral valuation stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Smith Douglas Homes points to a more balanced outlook, with analysts weighing solid fundamentals against valuation and execution risks.Analysis Article • Jan 10
A Look At The Fair Value Of Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Smith Douglas Homes fair value estimate is US$20.42 With...Narrative Update • Jan 07
SDHC: Future Returns Will Balance Solid Equity Efficiency And Modest Housing Demand Risks
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $17, citing what they see as reasonable valuation, solid return on equity, and medium term growth prospects. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has assumed coverage of Smith Douglas Homes with a Neutral rating and a trimmed price target of $17, down from $18.Narrative Update • Dec 19
SDHC: Future Returns Will Be Constrained By Modest Housing Demand Risks
Analysts raised their price target on Smith Douglas Homes slightly, from approximately $16.60 to $16.75 per share, citing the stock's reasonable valuation, solid return on equity profile, and strong medium term growth prospects, despite a modest reduction in a recent $18 to $17 target from Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that the current share price embeds a reasonable valuation relative to the company’s return on equity and growth profile.Analysis Article • Dec 13
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) With Shares Advancing 25%
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ( NYSE:SDHC ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Narrative Update • Nov 24
SDHC: Medium-Term Prospects Will Be Shaped By Housing Market Direction
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Smith Douglas Homes to $16.60 from $16.80. They cite modest shifts in growth outlook, valuation, and industry conditions as reasons for the updated estimate.Narrative Update • Nov 10
SDHC: Improved Earnings Prospects Will Face Near-Term Market Headwinds
Analysts have updated the fair value estimate for Smith Douglas Homes, raising the target from $16 to $17. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations, even as they remain cautious about the near-term housing market outlook.Analysis Article • Aug 19
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
NYSE:SDHC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Smith Douglas Homes's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Is Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) Trading At A 21% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Smith Douglas Homes fair value estimate is US$27.56 Smith...Analysis Article • Jun 16
Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...Analysis Article • Apr 24
Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s (NYSE:SDHC) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Consumer Durables industry in the United States...Seeking Alpha • Mar 22
Smith Douglas Homes: Earnings Growth Outlook Has Gotten Worse (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I downgrade Smith Douglas Homes Corp. to a hold rating due to worsening macroeconomic conditions and deteriorating fundamentals. Despite strong 4Q24 home closings, rising mortgage rates and land costs are negatively impacting SDHC's earnings growth outlook. SDHC's heavy use of incentives to capture demand is compressing margins, and affordability constraints are limiting effective demand. With a declining backlog and increasing cancellation rates, SDHC's valuation at 13x forward earnings appears fair, lacking upside momentum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Jan 12
Anticipated Demand And Market Expansion Could Offset Rising Costs And Margin Pressures
Strategic expansion into new markets and increased community count are expected to drive revenue growth and market share.Analysis Article • Jan 11
Slammed 31% Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ( NYSE:SDHC ) share price has dived 31% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Jan 09
Smith Douglas Homes: Navigating A Challenged Environment
Summary The stock of Smith Douglas Homes Corp. has been hit hard by rising mortgage rates, despite a recent 100bps reduction in the Federal Funds rate. The company focuses on building single-family homes in the southeastern U.S., targeting entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers, with a recent expansion into Greenville, SC. Q3 results were strong, with earnings beating expectations and revenues up 41% year-over-year, but analyst firms remain pessimistic. There was some insider buying in the stock in November, and at significantly higher levels than where the shares are currently trading. We take a deeper look at Smith Douglas Homes in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 23
Is There An Opportunity With Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s (NYSE:SDHC) 43% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Smith Douglas Homes is US$59.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Oct 23
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analysis Article • Jul 15
Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Smith Douglas Homes: Beneficiary Of The High Rates Environment
Summary SDHC operates in homebuilding industry with focus on single-family homes in key states. SDHC deserves a buy rating due to favorable macro environment. SDHC has a differentiated operating model with short build times and high customization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Smith Douglas Homes: IPO Gate Has Opened For This Homebuilder
Summary Smith Douglas Homes has had a successful public debut, with shares priced at the higher end of the offering range as it saw decent opening day returns. The company is one of the fastest growing private homebuilder in the US, offering personalized homes at affordable prices in desirable markets. Smith Douglas Homes operates with an asset-light business model, completing most homes in transactions with land under option, making it a capital-efficient operation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Smith Douglas Homes makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 953 | 9 | 143 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 971 | 11 | 140 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 998 | 11 | 147 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,014 | 15 | 221 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 1,011 | 16 | 142 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 975 | 16 | 136 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 905 | 42 | 121 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 825 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 786 | 97 | 100 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 765 | 123 | 92 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 771 | 135 | 92 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 780 | 139 | 90 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 761 | 139 | 85 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 755 | 140 | 83 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 519 | 63 | 64 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: SDHC has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: SDHC's current net profit margins (0.9%) are lower than last year (1.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: SDHC's earnings have declined by 51.5% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: SDHC's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: SDHC had negative earnings growth (-45.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Durables industry average (-20%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: SDHC's Return on Equity (12.3%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 05:29 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is covered by 8 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Gilbert | BTIG |
| Jay McCanless | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |