Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

NYSE:DFH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

Dream Finders Homes Valuation

Is DFH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate DFH's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate DFH's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFH?

Key metric: As DFH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DFH. This is calculated by dividing DFH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DFH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsUS$294.54m
Market CapUS$2.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
GRBK Green Brick Partners
9x5.6%US$3.1b
CCS Century Communities
8.6x13.8%US$2.8b
CVCO Cavco Industries
28.1x17.8%US$4.2b
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes
7.1x10.4%US$1.7b
DFH Dream Finders Homes
10x7.7%US$3.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
DFH 10.0xIndustry Avg. 11.4xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the US Consumer Durables industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DFH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$31.65
US$31.00
-2.1%
16.1%US$36.00US$26.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$30.75
US$31.00
+0.8%
16.1%US$36.00US$26.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$36.05
US$31.00
-14.0%
22.6%US$38.00US$24.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$33.45
US$29.50
-11.8%
18.6%US$35.00US$24.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$30.41
US$32.00
+5.2%
25.0%US$40.00US$24.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$24.78
US$32.00
+29.1%
25.0%US$40.00US$24.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$28.41
US$32.00
+12.6%
25.0%US$40.00US$24.00n/a2
May ’25US$35.66
US$34.50
-3.3%
30.4%US$45.00US$24.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$42.89
US$26.50
-38.2%
9.4%US$29.00US$24.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$38.54
US$26.50
-31.2%
9.4%US$29.00US$24.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$34.00
US$24.00
-29.4%
20.8%US$29.00US$19.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$35.53
US$24.00
-32.5%
20.8%US$29.00US$19.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$25.50
US$23.00
-9.8%
17.4%US$27.00US$19.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$20.23
US$21.50
+6.3%
25.6%US$27.00US$16.00US$30.752
Oct ’24US$22.23
US$21.50
-3.3%
25.6%US$27.00US$16.00US$36.052
Sep ’24US$29.90
US$21.50
-28.1%
25.6%US$27.00US$16.00US$33.452
Aug ’24US$24.50
US$18.00
-26.5%
33.3%US$24.00US$12.00US$30.412
Jul ’24US$24.59
US$18.00
-26.8%
33.3%US$24.00US$12.00US$24.782
Jun ’24US$18.80
US$15.00
-20.2%
20.0%US$18.00US$12.00US$28.412
May ’24US$16.08
US$12.50
-22.3%
4.0%US$13.00US$12.00US$35.662
Apr ’24US$13.25
US$12.00
-9.4%
8.3%US$13.00US$11.00US$42.892
Mar ’24US$12.49
US$10.67
-14.6%
17.7%US$12.00US$8.00US$38.543
Feb ’24US$12.82
US$10.67
-16.8%
17.7%US$12.00US$8.00US$34.003
Jan ’24US$8.66
US$10.67
+23.2%
17.7%US$12.00US$8.00US$35.533
Dec ’23US$9.36
US$10.67
+14.0%
17.7%US$12.00US$8.00US$25.503
Nov ’23US$11.00
US$13.33
+21.2%
14.1%US$16.00US$12.00US$20.233

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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