Stock Analysis

What Does TopBuild Corp.'s (NYSE:BLD) Share Price Indicate?

TopBuild Corp. (NYSE:BLD) saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$479 and falling to the lows of US$360. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether TopBuild's current trading price of US$392 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at TopBuild’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for TopBuild

What Is TopBuild Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 15% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy TopBuild today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $463.42, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because TopBuild’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will TopBuild generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BLD Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 5.6% expected over the next year, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for TopBuild, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? BLD’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BLD, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Diving deeper into the forecasts for TopBuild mentioned earlier will help you understand how analysts view the stock going forward. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

If you are no longer interested in TopBuild, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:BLD

TopBuild

Engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building material products to the construction industry.

Mediocre balance sheet with limited growth.

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