Stock Analysis

Newell Brands (NWL): Assessing Valuation Following Sharpie Production Shift to Tennessee for Greater Efficiency

Newell Brands (NWL) has announced a major shift in its manufacturing approach. The company is moving most Sharpie pen production to a Tennessee facility. This change is designed to streamline operations and cut manufacturing costs.

See our latest analysis for Newell Brands.

Newell Brands' push to improve efficiency comes alongside a steady stream of positive company initiatives, including substantial investments in its U.S. manufacturing base and national campaigns celebrating workers. Despite these efforts, the stock's recent momentum has softened, with a modest 1-year total shareholder return slightly in the red. This reflects cautious market sentiment about long-term prospects as the company recalibrates for future growth.

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With shares down around 23 percent in the past year and trading at a sizable discount to analyst targets, investors now face a crucial question: is Newell Brands undervalued, or is the market already anticipating its turnaround?

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Most Popular Narrative: 21% Undervalued

With Newell Brands’ most closely followed narrative assigning a fair value notably above the recent closing price, this perspective suggests the market could be missing drivers the narrative considers important. This sets the stage for a closer look at what makes the consensus so constructive on future value creation.

The company is capitalizing on global trade shifts and tariff realignments, leveraging its extensive North American manufacturing footprint ($2 billion invested, untapped capacity). This is allowing it to secure long-term distribution gains and market share from retailer reshuffling and is positioned to lift top-line sales and improve net margins as supply chain efficiencies increase.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what underpins this bullish stance? The real story, hidden behind margin improvements, product innovation bets, and bold profitability targets, may surprise even seasoned investors. Get the inside track on how industry shifts and analyst assumptions combine in this detailed valuation narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $6.83 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent core sales declines or unexpected shifts in global trade policy could undermine the company’s recovery and challenge confidence in the current bullish outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Newell Brands narrative.

Build Your Own Newell Brands Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft your own perspective on Newell Brands in minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Newell Brands research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Newell Brands might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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