Stock Analysis

Don't Race Out To Buy Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAS) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

NasdaqGS:HAS
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Readers hoping to buy Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAS) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Thus, you can purchase Hasbro's shares before the 3rd of March in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 12th of March.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.70 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed US$2.80 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Hasbro has a trailing yield of 4.1% on the current share price of US$68.55. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for Hasbro

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Hasbro paid out 101% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Hasbro generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out more than half (60%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's good to see that while Hasbro's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:HAS Historic Dividend February 26th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Hasbro's earnings per share have dropped 7.4% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Hasbro has delivered 5.0% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Hasbro is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy Hasbro for the upcoming dividend? It's never fun to see a company's earnings per share in retreat. What's more, Hasbro is paying out a majority of its earnings and over half its free cash flow. It's hard to say if the business has the financial resources and time to turn things around without cutting the dividend. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Hasbro don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Hasbro and you should be aware of them before buying any shares.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.