Stock Analysis

What Dogness (International) Corporation's (NASDAQ:DOGZ) 36% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

NasdaqCM:DOGZ
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Despite an already strong run, Dogness (International) Corporation (NASDAQ:DOGZ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 46%.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Dogness (International) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Dogness (International)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:DOGZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 18th 2024

How Dogness (International) Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Dogness (International)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dogness (International) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dogness (International)?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dogness (International)'s is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 28%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 30% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 3.3% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dogness (International)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Dogness (International)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

Dogness (International)'s P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Dogness (International) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Dogness (International) (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Dogness (International)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.