Stock Analysis

Clarus Corporation (NASDAQ:CLAR) Stock Rockets 27% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NasdaqGS:CLAR
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Those holding Clarus Corporation (NASDAQ:CLAR) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Clarus' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Leisure industry is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Clarus

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CLAR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 30th 2023

What Does Clarus' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Clarus has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Clarus.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Clarus?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Clarus' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 3.4% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.8% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Clarus' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Clarus' P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Clarus' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It appears that Clarus currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Clarus that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.