Waste Management, Inc.

NYSE:WM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$82.6b

Waste Management Valuation

Is WM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WM ($205.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($280.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WM?

Key metric: As WM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WM. This is calculated by dividing WM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.3x
EarningsUS$2.64b
Market CapUS$82.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.1x
RSG Republic Services
32.4x6.8%US$63.8b
WCN Waste Connections
47.8x14.7%US$45.0b
VLTO Veralto
32x9.4%US$25.8b
ROL Rollins
48.4x12.2%US$22.7b
WM Waste Management
31.3x10.8%US$82.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (40.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SGTM Sustainable Green Team
3.2xn/aUS$35.60m
PGTK Pacific Green Technologies
3.6xn/aUS$28.52m
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration
0.6xn/aUS$7.76m
BLPG Blue Line Protection Group
3.6xn/aUS$454.58k
WM 31.3xIndustry Avg. 31.6xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (31.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.3x
Fair PE Ratio36.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$205.83
US$231.85
+12.6%
7.3%US$255.00US$181.00n/a20
Dec ’25US$228.22
US$230.45
+1.0%
7.3%US$255.00US$181.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$213.99
US$229.67
+7.3%
7.6%US$255.00US$174.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$207.93
US$222.71
+7.1%
8.1%US$251.00US$170.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$212.04
US$222.71
+5.0%
8.1%US$251.00US$170.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$206.07
US$222.71
+8.1%
8.1%US$251.00US$170.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$209.36
US$224.01
+7.0%
8.9%US$259.00US$164.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$210.73
US$224.06
+6.3%
9.1%US$259.00US$161.00n/a20
May ’25US$206.76
US$222.43
+7.6%
8.9%US$259.00US$161.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$212.91
US$209.91
-1.4%
8.5%US$256.00US$159.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$205.79
US$207.14
+0.7%
8.0%US$230.00US$159.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$188.42
US$183.33
-2.7%
8.0%US$215.00US$151.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$179.10
US$181.52
+1.4%
7.5%US$203.00US$151.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$173.80
US$179.48
+3.3%
7.7%US$203.00US$151.00US$228.2221
Nov ’24US$164.04
US$179.60
+9.5%
8.0%US$203.00US$149.00US$213.9920
Oct ’24US$152.44
US$178.54
+17.1%
7.5%US$202.00US$149.00US$207.9320
Sep ’24US$157.01
US$177.83
+13.3%
7.6%US$202.00US$149.00US$212.0419
Aug ’24US$162.51
US$177.83
+9.4%
7.6%US$202.00US$149.00US$206.0719
Jul ’24US$173.42
US$175.30
+1.1%
7.9%US$200.00US$145.00US$209.3620
Jun ’24US$162.80
US$174.95
+7.5%
8.1%US$200.00US$145.00US$210.7319
May ’24US$166.79
US$173.95
+4.3%
8.0%US$200.00US$145.00US$206.7619
Apr ’24US$163.17
US$168.39
+3.2%
9.2%US$200.00US$138.00US$212.9118
Mar ’24US$148.83
US$166.53
+11.9%
8.4%US$196.00US$138.00US$205.7917
Feb ’24US$154.41
US$167.44
+8.4%
9.3%US$196.00US$129.00US$188.4216
Jan ’24US$156.88
US$171.71
+9.5%
8.7%US$196.00US$129.00US$179.1017
Dec ’23US$167.82
US$172.06
+2.5%
8.9%US$196.00US$129.00US$173.8017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Waste Management, Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
David MantheyBaird
Jonathan WindhamBarclays