With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.8x The Brink's Company (NYSE:BCO) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Brink's has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Brink's
Keen to find out how analysts think Brink's' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Brink's' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.9%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 393% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 187% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Brink's is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Brink's' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Brink's, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Brink's' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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About NYSE:BCO
Brink's
Provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally.
Average dividend payer with moderate growth potential.